Benevento vs Avellino prediction

Our Benevento vs Avellino prediction and pick

Benevento host Avellino on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Serie B, and the model has Benevento at 50%, the draw at 26% and Avellino at 24%: that is the Benevento vs Avellino prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.63 in total, split 1.60 to Benevento and 1.03 to Avellino. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is benevento to win at 50%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.81. That price implies 55%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Benevento or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.20.

Benevento average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Avellino 1.6 and 0.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Benevento vs Avellino

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.91.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Benevento scoring in 80% of runs and Avellino in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Benevento and 20% for Avellino.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.9%, then 1-0 at 11.5% and 2-1 at 9.5%.

With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Benevento vs Avellino; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Benevento, full-time Benevento leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.