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Live 18 UTC
Serie B Round 8 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
EmpoliHomeLDLLD
0:2Half-time 0:1
Vicenza VirtusAwayLDWLL
402832
Empoli winDrawVicenza Virtus win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.76
1.47 : 1.29
Favourite
40%
Empoli
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.463.302.741.781.971.602.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Empoli to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus are 2.46 for Empoli at 1xBet, 3.30 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.74 for Vicenza Virtus at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.19 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Empoli or Vicenza Virtus (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.47 : 1.29-6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Empoli, full-time Empoli
25% chance4.05fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus odds movement

Empoli win2.46-0.14
Draw3.30-0.09
Vicenza Virtus win2.74-0.26
Over 2.5 goals1.78-0.15
Under 2.5 goals1.97-0.01

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction

Our Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction and pick

The Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie B on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Empoli a 40% chance, Vicenza Virtus 32% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.76 in total, split 1.47 to Empoli and 1.29 to Vicenza Virtus. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus is empoli or Vicenza Virtus (no draw), a 72% chance. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 72% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus.

Empoli average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Vicenza Virtus 1.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 70%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.78.

Both teams to score is 59%: Empoli find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Vicenza Virtus in 73%. Empoli keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Vicenza Virtus 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 1-0 at 9.3% and 2-1 at 8.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Empoli, full-time Empoli is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

All markets, Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Empoli to win40%2.46
Draw28%3.30
Vicenza Virtus to win32%2.74
Empoli, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Vicenza Virtus, draw no bet45%fair 2.25

Double chance

Empoli or draw68%1.41
Vicenza Virtus or draw60%1.50
Empoli or Vicenza Virtus (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.78
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals49%1.97
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.60
Not both teams to score41%2.19

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Empoli to score77%fair 1.30
Vicenza Virtus to score73%fair 1.38
Empoli clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Vicenza Virtus clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Empoli to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Vicenza Virtus to win to nil21%fair 4.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
1-09.3%
2-18.8%
0-18.2%
1-27.7%
2-06.8%

Half-time / full-time

Empoli / Empoli24.7%
Vicenza Virtus / Vicenza Virtus19.3%
Draw / Draw15%
Draw / Empoli14.2%
Draw / Vicenza Virtus11.9%

Questions about Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus

Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

The model gives Empoli the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Empoli find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Vicenza Virtus in 73%.

When do Empoli play Vicenza Virtus?

Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Empoli v Vicenza VirtusEmpoli or Vicenza Virtus (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet