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Live 26 UTC
Serie B Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
CarrareseHomeWWLWL
Sun 8 Nov
SampdoriaAwayLLDLW
392932
Carrarese winDrawSampdoria win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.62
1.40 : 1.22
Favourite
39%
Carrarese
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Carrarese vs Sampdoria betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.403.262.891.851.891.652.11Bet
22Bet2.403.262.891.851.891.652.11Bet
BC.Game2.463.102.901.891.841.652.06Bet
Betwinner2.403.262.891.851.891.652.11Bet
Melbet2.403.262.891.851.891.652.11Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Carrarese to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Carrarese vs Sampdoria are 2.46 for Carrarese at BC.Game, 3.26 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.90 for Sampdoria at BC.Game.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.89 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (22Bet) and no 2.11 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

71%

Our prediction

Carrarese or Sampdoria (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.40 : 1.22-6.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Carrarese, full-time Carrarese
24% chance4.10fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction

Our Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction and pick

Carrarese are marginally ahead in the Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction, rated 39% to win this Serie B match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Sampdoria sit at 31% and the draw at 29%.

The goal expectancy is 2.62 in total, split 1.40 to Carrarese and 1.22 to Sampdoria. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is carrarese or Sampdoria (no draw) at 71%. At 1.33 with BC.Game the market prices it at 75%, against 71% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Carrarese average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Sampdoria 1.0 and 1.8 across 5.

How many goals in Carrarese vs Sampdoria? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.89 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 56%: Carrarese find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 71%. Carrarese keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Sampdoria 25%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 10.2% and 0-1 at 8.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Carrarese, full-time Carrarese is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

All markets, Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Carrarese vs Sampdoria, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Carrarese to win39%2.46
Draw29%3.26
Sampdoria to win31%2.90
Carrarese, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Sampdoria, draw no bet44%fair 2.27

Double chance

Carrarese or draw69%1.38
Sampdoria or draw61%1.53
Carrarese or Sampdoria (no draw)71%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.89
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals52%1.89
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.65
Not both teams to score44%2.11

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Carrarese to score75%fair 1.33
Sampdoria to score71%fair 1.42
Carrarese clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Sampdoria clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Carrarese to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Sampdoria to win to nil23%fair 4.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.2%
0-18.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%
0-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Carrarese / Carrarese24.4%
Sampdoria / Sampdoria18.8%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Draw / Carrarese14.5%
Draw / Sampdoria12%

Questions about Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Who is favourite in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

The model gives Carrarese the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Carrarese find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 71%.

What time does Carrarese vs Sampdoria kick off?

Kick-off is 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Carrarese v SampdoriaCarrarese or Sampdoria (no draw), 71%
1.33Bet