Serie B
Virtus EntellaHomeDWLDL
Sun 8 Nov
ModenaAwayWLWWD312940
Virtus Entella winDrawModena win
Virtus EntellaHomeDWLDLModenaAwayWLWWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.51 1.15 : 1.36
- Favourite
- 41% Modena
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Virtus Entella vs Modena odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.34 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.75 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Modena to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Virtus Entella vs Modena are 3.00 for Virtus Entella at BC.Game, 3.25 for the draw at Melbet and 2.38 for Modena at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.04 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.78 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (BC.Game) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Virtus Entella or Modena (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Modena, full-time Modena
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction
Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction and best bet
Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction for the Serie B on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Modena marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 29% and Virtus Entella at 31%.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Virtus Entella and 1.36 for Modena, a total of 2.51, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Virtus Entella or Modena (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Virtus Entella vs Modena.
Form check: Virtus Entella have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 6 conceded, Modena 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 6.
Virtus Entella vs Modena goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 45%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.78 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 53%: Virtus Entella find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Modena in 74%. Virtus Entella keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Modena 32%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%, followed by 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (9.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Modena, full-time Modena leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Virtus Entella vs Modena
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Virtus Entella vs Modena, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Virtus Entella to win31%3.00
Draw29%3.25
Modena to win41%2.38
Virtus Entella, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
Modena, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Double chance
Virtus Entella or draw60%1.55
Modena or draw70%1.37
Virtus Entella or Modena (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.04
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 2.5 goals55%1.78
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%1.98
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.21
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Virtus Entella to score68%fair 1.46
Modena to score74%fair 1.35
Virtus Entella clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Modena clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Virtus Entella to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Modena to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-111.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.6%
0-08.1%
0-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Modena / Modena24.6%
Virtus Entella / Virtus Entella18%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Modena14.9%
Draw / Virtus Entella11.8%
Questions about Virtus Entella vs Modena
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?
The model gives Modena the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Virtus Entella vs Modena correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Virtus Entella vs Modena both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Virtus Entella find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Modena in 74%.
What time does Virtus Entella vs Modena kick off?
Virtus Entella vs Modena starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.