FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction, who wins and at what price

Bayern München are the clear favourite in the FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction, rated 63% to win this Bundesliga match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. FSV Mainz 05 sit at 21% and the draw at 16%.

Expected goals are 1.54 for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.75 for Bayern München, a total of 4.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams to score at 72%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Bayern München to win is the main selection, rated 63%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.49. That price implies 67%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 or Bayern München (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.19.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches FSV Mainz 05 stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Bayern München show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München reads 93% for over 1.5, 80% for over 2.5 and 62% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 21%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 80%; 1xBet pay 1.24.

The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from FSV Mainz 05 scoring in 79% of runs and Bayern München in 94%; clean sheets come at 6% for FSV Mainz 05 and 21% for Bayern München.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 8%, followed by 1-3 (7.3%) and 2-2 (6.1%).

With the top scoreline at 8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bayern München, full-time Bayern München leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 86%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.