Bundesliga
Round 8 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Bayern MünchenHomeWDWWD
2:2Half-time 1:0
Borussia DortmundAwayDWWWD741511
Bayern München winDrawBorussia Dortmund win
Bundesliga
Round 8 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Bayern MünchenHomeWDWWDBorussia DortmundAwayDWWWD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.08 2.96 : 1.12
- Favourite
- 74% Bayern München
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.34 | 6.39 | 8.80 | 1.29 | 3.56 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.37 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.25 | 3.98 | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.32 | 5.80 | 7.40 | 1.27 | 3.65 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.36 | 5.74 | 7.49 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.36 | 5.74 | 7.49 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.34 | 6.20 | 7.20 | 1.25 | 3.70 | 1.47 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bayern München to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Bayern München 1.37 (22Bet), draw 6.39 (1xBet), Borussia Dortmund 8.80 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.98 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (1xBet) and no 2.79 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Bayern München to win
Double chanceBayern München or draw
89% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
76% chance1.29
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance12.05fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bayern München, full-time Bayern München
53% chance1.90fair
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Our Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and pick
Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, and the model has Bayern München at 74%, the draw at 15% and Borussia Dortmund at 11%: that is the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.96 for Bayern München and 1.12 for Borussia Dortmund, a total of 4.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 65%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund is bayern München to win, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.37 at 22Bet, which implies 73%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
For a safer line, bayern München or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.11.
The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Bayern München stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Borussia Dortmund show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 24% and under 3.5 42%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 91% and over 2.5 at 76%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 76%; 1xBet pay 1.29.
Both teams to score is 65%: Bayern München find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Borussia Dortmund in 67%. Bayern München keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Borussia Dortmund 5%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.3%, followed by 3-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bayern München, full-time Bayern München leads at 53%. A goal before the break is rated 84%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund
The grid built from 2.96 and 1.12 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Bayern München to win74%1.37
Draw15%6.39
Borussia Dortmund to win11%8.80
Bayern München, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet13%fair 7.75
Double chance
Bayern München or draw89%1.11
Borussia Dortmund or draw26%3.70
Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund (no draw)85%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.29
Over 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Over 4.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 2.5 goals24%3.98
Under 3.5 goals42%fair 2.39
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.51
Not both teams to score35%2.79
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 first-half goals55%fair 1.82
Second-half goal89%fair 1.12
Team goals
Bayern München to score95%fair 1.05
Borussia Dortmund to score67%fair 1.48
Bayern München clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet5%fair 19.23
Bayern München to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Borussia Dortmund to win to nil5%fair 20.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.3%
3-18.2%
2-07.4%
3-07.3%
4-16.1%
1-15.6%
Half-time / full-time
Bayern München / Bayern München52.6%
Draw / Bayern München17.7%
Draw / Draw6.9%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund6.2%
Borussia Dortmund / Bayern München4.2%
Questions about Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund
Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Bayern München the best chance at 74%, with the draw at 15%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 76%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Bayern München find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Borussia Dortmund in 67%.
What time does Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.