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Bundesliga Round 9 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
1. FC KölnHomeWLDWD
Sun 8 Nov
Bayer LeverkusenAwayWWLWL
252253
1. FC Köln winDrawBayer Leverkusen win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.56
1.42 : 2.14
Favourite
54%
Bayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5 goals
69%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.414.571.761.402.931.412.73Bet
22Bet4.244.401.691.402.931.412.73Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Bayer Leverkusen to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: 1. FC Köln 4.41 (1xBet), draw 4.57 (1xBet), Bayer Leverkusen 1.76 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (1xBet) and no 2.73 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

54%

Our prediction

Bayer Leverkusen to win
StrongExpected goals 1.42 : 2.14-5.7% against the best price
Double chance1. FC Köln or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw)
78% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bayer Leverkusen, full-time Bayer Leverkusen
35% chance2.89fair

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and best bet

The 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction leans to Bayer Leverkusen: 54% against 25% for 1. FC Köln, with 22% left for the draw, in the Bundesliga on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.56 in total, split 1.42 to 1. FC Köln and 2.14 to Bayer Leverkusen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 67%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is bayer Leverkusen to win at 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.76 at 1xBet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen.

For a safer line, 1. FC Köln or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.26.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

1. FC Köln average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 and 2.0 across 5.

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 69%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 22Bet pay 1.40.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. 1. FC Köln score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Bayer Leverkusen; Bayer Leverkusen score in 88% while 1. FC Köln shut them out 12% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.2%, followed by 1-1 (8.6%) and 1-3 (6.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bayer Leverkusen, full-time Bayer Leverkusen leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 22% / 54% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

1. FC Köln to win25%4.41
Draw22%4.57
Bayer Leverkusen to win54%1.76
1. FC Köln, draw no bet32%fair 3.16
Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet68%fair 1.46

Double chance

1. FC Köln or draw46%2.24
Bayer Leverkusen or draw75%1.27
1. FC Köln or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw)78%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.40
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 2.5 goals31%2.93
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.91

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.41
Not both teams to score33%2.73

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

1. FC Köln to score76%fair 1.32
Bayer Leverkusen to score88%fair 1.13
1. FC Köln clean sheet12%fair 8.47
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet24%fair 4.13
1. FC Köln to win to nil11%fair 9.26
Bayer Leverkusen to win to nil22%fair 4.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.2%
1-18.6%
1-36.6%
2-26.6%
0-26.5%
2-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen34.6%
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen15.6%
1. FC Köln / 1. FC Köln14.6%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Draw / 1. FC Köln8.4%

Questions about 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The model gives Bayer Leverkusen the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. 1. FC Köln find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Bayer Leverkusen in 88%.

When is 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen and where is the result shown?

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen starts at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, 1. FC Köln v Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen to win, 54%
1.76Bet