Bundesliga
Round 7 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
FSV Mainz 05HomeLWLLL
2:3Half-time 1:2
Werder BremenAwayDDWLW582220
FSV Mainz 05 winDrawWerder Bremen win
Bundesliga
Round 7 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
FSV Mainz 05HomeLWLLLWerder BremenAwayDDWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.39 2.16 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 58% FSV Mainz 05
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 4.34 | 4.34 | 1.52 | 2.54 | 1.50 | 2.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FSV Mainz 05 to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best FSV Mainz 05 price at 1.80, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.34 and 1xBet have Werder Bremen longest at 4.34.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.52 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.54 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
58%
Our prediction
FSV Mainz 05 to win
Double chanceFSV Mainz 05 or draw
80% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.52
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05
38% chance2.63fair
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction, who wins and at what price
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction for the Bundesliga on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes FSV Mainz 05 a narrow favourite at 58%, with the draw at 22% and Werder Bremen at 20%.
Expected goals are 2.16 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.23 for Werder Bremen, a total of 3.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 65%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen is fSV Mainz 05 to win, a 58% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.80 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.
That gap is worth 4.8% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, fSV Mainz 05 or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.27.
FSV Mainz 05 average 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, Werder Bremen 2.2 and 1.8 across 5.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 56%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.52 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 65%. FSV Mainz 05 score in 89% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Werder Bremen; Werder Bremen score in 71% while FSV Mainz 05 shut them out 29% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05 leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win58%1.80
Draw22%4.34
Werder Bremen to win20%4.34
FSV Mainz 05, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Werder Bremen, draw no bet25%fair 3.94
Double chance
FSV Mainz 05 or draw80%1.27
Werder Bremen or draw42%2.17
FSV Mainz 05 or Werder Bremen (no draw)78%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals35%2.54
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.50
Not both teams to score35%2.45
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
FSV Mainz 05 to score89%fair 1.13
Werder Bremen to score71%fair 1.41
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Werder Bremen clean sheet12%fair 8.70
FSV Mainz 05 to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Werder Bremen to win to nil11%fair 9.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.7%
1-19%
2-07.9%
1-07.3%
3-17%
2-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
FSV Mainz 05 / FSV Mainz 0538%
Draw / FSV Mainz 0516.9%
Werder Bremen / Werder Bremen11.9%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Draw / Werder Bremen7.4%
Questions about FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
The model gives FSV Mainz 05 the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. FSV Mainz 05 find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Werder Bremen in 71%.
When do FSV Mainz 05 play Werder Bremen?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.