Bundesliga
Round 9 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
Borussia DortmundHomeDWWWD
Sat 7 Nov
SV ElversbergAwayLWLLW761410
Borussia Dortmund winDrawSV Elversberg win
Bundesliga
Round 9 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
Borussia DortmundHomeDWWWDSV ElversbergAwayLWLLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.95 2.94 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 76% Borussia Dortmund
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.32 | 6.58 | 9.50 | 1.31 | 3.44 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.27 | 6.30 | 9.10 | 1.31 | 3.44 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.28 | 6.00 | 8.40 | 1.29 | 3.45 | 1.58 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.32 | 6.58 | 9.50 | 1.31 | 3.44 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.32 | 6.58 | 9.50 | 1.31 | 3.44 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.25 | 6.60 | 8.80 | - | - | 1.58 | 2.20 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Borussia Dortmund to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Borussia Dortmund price at 1.32, Stake lead the draw at 6.60 and Melbet have SV Elversberg longest at 9.50.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.31 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.45 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (BC.Game) and no 2.30 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw
90% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.31
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance11.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Borussia Dortmund, full-time Borussia Dortmund
54% chance1.85fair
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction, who wins and at what price
Borussia Dortmund are the clear favourite in the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction, rated 76% to win this Bundesliga match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. SV Elversberg sit at 10% and the draw at 14%.
Expected goals are 2.94 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.01 for SV Elversberg, a total of 3.95, which puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is borussia Dortmund to win at 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 0 points under the model figure.
Borussia Dortmund or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.10.
With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, SV Elversberg 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 11.
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 26% and under 3.5 44%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 74%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%, best priced 1.31 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Borussia Dortmund scoring in 95% of runs and SV Elversberg in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Borussia Dortmund and 5% for SV Elversberg.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.4%, followed by 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Borussia Dortmund, full-time Borussia Dortmund is the top combination at 54%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
Every market for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
The grid built from 2.94 and 1.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win76%1.32
Draw14%6.60
SV Elversberg to win10%9.50
Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
SV Elversberg, draw no bet12%fair 8.40
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw90%1.10
SV Elversberg or draw24%3.89
Borussia Dortmund or SV Elversberg (no draw)86%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.31
Over 3.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.78
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 2.5 goals26%3.45
Under 3.5 goals44%fair 2.25
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.58
Not both teams to score40%2.30
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.89
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
Borussia Dortmund to score95%fair 1.06
SV Elversberg to score64%fair 1.57
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet36%fair 2.75
SV Elversberg clean sheet5%fair 18.87
Borussia Dortmund to win to nil34%fair 2.99
SV Elversberg to win to nil5%fair 20.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.4%
2-08.3%
3-18.2%
3-08.2%
4-16.1%
4-06%
Half-time / full-time
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund54.2%
Draw / Borussia Dortmund18.2%
Draw / Draw6.9%
SV Elversberg / SV Elversberg5.4%
SV Elversberg / Borussia Dortmund4%
Questions about Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
Who is favourite in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The model gives Borussia Dortmund the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 14%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Borussia Dortmund find the net in 95% of simulated matches and SV Elversberg in 64%.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg kick off?
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg starts at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.