Bundesliga
Round 7 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SC FreiburgHomeLLLWW
1:3Half-time 0:2
Bayern MünchenAwayWDWWD211960
SC Freiburg winDrawBayern München win
Bundesliga
Round 7 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SC FreiburgHomeLLLWWBayern MünchenAwayWDWWD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.91 1.42 : 2.49
- Favourite
- 60% Bayern München
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.74 | 5.28 | 1.53 | 1.30 | 3.46 | 1.39 | 2.81 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.74 | 5.58 | 1.40 | 1.28 | 3.72 | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.20 | 5.20 | 1.41 | 1.31 | 3.35 | 1.46 | 2.58 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.38 | 5.56 | 1.42 | 1.25 | 3.99 | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 Melbet | 6.74 | 5.58 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 3.99 | 1.44 | 2.79 | Bet |
 Stake | 6.40 | 5.80 | 1.41 | 1.28 | 3.55 | 1.45 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bayern München to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München are 6.74 for SC Freiburg at 22Bet, 5.80 for the draw at Stake and 1.53 for Bayern München at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 102.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.31 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.99 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.46 (BC.Game) and no 2.81 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
60%
Our prediction
Bayern München to win
Double chanceSC Freiburg or Bayern München (no draw)
81% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.31
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.46
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bayern München, full-time Bayern München
40% chance2.48fair
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction
Our SC Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction and pick
Bayern München are the clear favourite in the SC Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction, rated 60% to win this Bundesliga match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. SC Freiburg sit at 21% and the draw at 19%.
The goal expectancy is 3.91 in total, split 1.42 to SC Freiburg and 2.49 to Bayern München. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 75% and both teams to score 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München is bayern München to win, a 60% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 65%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, sC Freiburg or Bayern München (no draw) covers 81% of outcomes at 1.21.
The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
SC Freiburg average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Bayern München 3.8 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals forecast for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines SC Freiburg vs Bayern München reads 90% for over 1.5, 75% for over 2.5 and 55% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 25%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 75%; BC.Game pay 1.31.
The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from SC Freiburg scoring in 76% of runs and Bayern München in 92%; clean sheets come at 8% for SC Freiburg and 24% for Bayern München.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 8.8%, followed by 1-3 (7.3%) and 1-1 (7.1%).
With the top scoreline at 8.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bayern München, full-time Bayern München is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
Every market rated for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 21% / 19% / 60% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
SC Freiburg to win21%6.74
Draw19%5.80
Bayern München to win60%1.53
SC Freiburg, draw no bet26%fair 3.92
Bayern München, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw40%3.05
Bayern München or draw79%1.19
SC Freiburg or Bayern München (no draw)81%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals75%1.31
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.10
Under 2.5 goals25%3.99
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.46
Not both teams to score32%2.81
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.90
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
SC Freiburg to score76%fair 1.32
Bayern München to score92%fair 1.09
SC Freiburg clean sheet8%fair 12.05
Bayern München clean sheet24%fair 4.13
SC Freiburg to win to nil8%fair 13.16
Bayern München to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.8%
1-37.3%
1-17.1%
2-26.3%
0-26.2%
2-35.2%
Half-time / full-time
Bayern München / Bayern München40.4%
Draw / Bayern München16.2%
SC Freiburg / SC Freiburg11.9%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Draw / SC Freiburg6.8%
Questions about SC Freiburg vs Bayern München
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
The model gives Bayern München the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 75%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. SC Freiburg find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Bayern München in 92%.
When is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.