DFB-Pokal
VfL BochumHomeLLDWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
FSV Mainz 05AwayLWLLL202357
VfL Bochum winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win
VfL BochumHomeLLDWWFSV Mainz 05AwayLWLLL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.17 : 2.04
- Favourite
- 57% FSV Mainz 05
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.02 | 4.15 | 1.59 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.60 | 2.19 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.46 | 3.94 | 1.74 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.31 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.20 | 3.95 | 1.75 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.54 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.46 | 3.94 | 1.74 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.31 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.46 | 3.94 | 1.74 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.31 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.85 | 3.80 | 1.76 | 1.50 | 2.37 | 1.50 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FSV Mainz 05 to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best VfL Bochum price at 5.02, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.15 and Stake have FSV Mainz 05 longest at 1.76.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.58 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.38 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (Melbet) and no 2.32 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
57%
Our prediction
FSV Mainz 05 to win
Double chanceFSV Mainz 05 or draw
80% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05
37% chance2.71fair
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction, who wins and at what price
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction for the DFB-Pokal on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes FSV Mainz 05 a narrow favourite at 57%, with the draw at 23% and VfL Bochum at 20%.
VfL Bochum are expected to score 1.17 and FSV Mainz 05 2.04, so the total line is 3.21 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
FSV Mainz 05 to win is the main selection, rated 57%. Stake offer the top price at 1.76. That price implies 57%, 0 points under the model figure.
FSV Mainz 05 or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.21.
VfL Bochum average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, FSV Mainz 05 1.4 and 2.6 across 5.
Goals forecast for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; Betwinner pay 1.58.
BTTS yes stands at 61%. VfL Bochum score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for FSV Mainz 05; FSV Mainz 05 score in 87% while VfL Bochum shut them out 13% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.8%, then 1-1 at 9.6% and 0-2 at 8.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05 is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
VfL Bochum to win20%5.02
Draw23%4.15
FSV Mainz 05 to win57%1.76
VfL Bochum, draw no bet26%fair 3.80
FSV Mainz 05, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Double chance
VfL Bochum or draw43%2.27
FSV Mainz 05 or draw80%1.21
VfL Bochum or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.58
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.38
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.62
Not both teams to score39%2.32
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
VfL Bochum to score69%fair 1.45
FSV Mainz 05 to score87%fair 1.15
VfL Bochum clean sheet13%fair 7.69
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet31%fair 3.23
VfL Bochum to win to nil12%fair 8.33
FSV Mainz 05 to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.8%
1-19.6%
0-28.4%
0-18.2%
1-36.7%
2-25.7%
Half-time / full-time
FSV Mainz 05 / FSV Mainz 0536.9%
Draw / FSV Mainz 0517.2%
VfL Bochum / VfL Bochum12%
Draw / Draw11.6%
Draw / VfL Bochum7.7%
Questions about VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum or FSV Mainz 05: which side does the model back?
The model gives FSV Mainz 05 the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. VfL Bochum find the net in 69% of simulated matches and FSV Mainz 05 in 87%.
When is VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.