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Live 6 UTC
Bundesliga Round 8 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
SV ElversbergHomeLWLLW
4:1Half-time 3:0
FSV Mainz 05AwayLWLLL
322444
SV Elversberg winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.45
1.57 : 1.88
Favourite
45%
FSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.394.122.091.492.611.432.66Bet
22Bet3.783.921.871.492.631.502.58Bet
BC.Game3.753.901.851.512.481.452.64Bet
Betwinner3.833.981.891.492.631.502.58Bet
Melbet3.833.981.891.492.631.482.68Bet
Stake3.754.101.861.462.601.472.55Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FSV Mainz 05 to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 are 3.83 for SV Elversberg at Melbet, 4.12 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.09 for FSV Mainz 05 at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.51 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.68 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

SV Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.57 : 1.88-1.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Our SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction and pick

The SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction leans to FSV Mainz 05: 45% against 32% for SV Elversberg, with 24% left for the draw, in the Bundesliga on Friday, 30 October 2026.

SV Elversberg are expected to score 1.57 and FSV Mainz 05 1.88, so the total line is 3.45 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 67%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 is sV Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw), a 76% chance. At 1.29 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 76% from the model.

SV Elversberg average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, FSV Mainz 05 1.4 and 2.6 across 5.

Goals forecast for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 45%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 55%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; BC.Game pay 1.51.

Both teams to score is 67%: SV Elversberg find the net in 79% of simulated matches and FSV Mainz 05 in 85%. SV Elversberg keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and FSV Mainz 05 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: 1-1 (9.4%), 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.4%).

With the top scoreline at 9.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FSV Mainz 05, full-time FSV Mainz 05 is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

Every market for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05

The grid built from 1.57 and 1.88 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

SV Elversberg to win32%3.83
Draw24%4.12
FSV Mainz 05 to win45%2.09
SV Elversberg, draw no bet42%fair 2.41
FSV Mainz 05, draw no bet59%fair 1.71

Double chance

SV Elversberg or draw55%1.96
FSV Mainz 05 or draw68%1.39
SV Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw)76%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.51
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.09
Under 2.5 goals33%2.63
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.50
Not both teams to score33%2.68

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

SV Elversberg to score79%fair 1.26
FSV Mainz 05 to score85%fair 1.18
SV Elversberg clean sheet15%fair 6.54
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet21%fair 4.81
SV Elversberg to win to nil14%fair 7.14
FSV Mainz 05 to win to nil19%fair 5.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.4%
1-28.8%
2-17.4%
2-26.9%
0-16%
0-25.6%

Half-time / full-time

FSV Mainz 05 / FSV Mainz 0528.1%
SV Elversberg / SV Elversberg19.3%
Draw / FSV Mainz 0513.9%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Draw / SV Elversberg10.6%

Questions about SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05

Who is favourite in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

The model gives FSV Mainz 05 the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. SV Elversberg find the net in 79% of simulated matches and FSV Mainz 05 in 85%.

When is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05SV Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw), 76%
1.29Bet