Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Our Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction and pick

Toulouse are marginally ahead in the Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction, rated 47% to win this Ligue 1 match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Strasbourg sit at 29% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.80 for Toulouse and 1.38 for Strasbourg, a total of 3.18, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Toulouse vs Strasbourg is toulouse or Strasbourg (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at Melbet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Toulouse average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Strasbourg 1.6 and 2.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Toulouse vs Strasbourg with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Toulouse vs Strasbourg reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.66.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Toulouse score in 84% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Strasbourg; Strasbourg score in 75% while Toulouse shut them out 25% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.5%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Toulouse vs Strasbourg; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Toulouse, full-time Toulouse leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.