Ligue 1
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
LensHomeLWLWL
Sun 8 Nov
MarseilleAwayLWLWW472429
Lens winDrawMarseille win
Ligue 1
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
LensHomeLWLWLMarseilleAwayLWLWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.46 1.93 : 1.53
- Favourite
- 47% Lens
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Lens vs Marseille
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.12 | 4.16 | 3.30 | 1.46 | 2.72 | 1.40 | 2.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.04 | 4.00 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 2.72 | 1.40 | 2.77 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.04 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.72 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.12 | 4.16 | 3.31 | 1.46 | 2.72 | 1.40 | 2.77 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.12 | 4.16 | 3.31 | 1.46 | 2.72 | 1.40 | 2.77 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.01 | 3.90 | 3.15 | - | - | 1.41 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lens to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Lens vs Marseille are 2.12 for Lens at 1xBet, 4.16 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.31 for Marseille at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.72 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (Stake) and no 2.77 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Lens or Marseille (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lens, full-time Lens
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair
Lens vs Marseille prediction
Lens vs Marseille prediction and best bet
Lens vs Marseille prediction for the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Lens marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 24% and Marseille at 30%.
Expected goals are 1.93 for Lens and 1.53 for Marseille, a total of 3.46, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Lens vs Marseille is lens or Marseille (no draw), a 77% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 1 points over the model figure.
Lens average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Marseille 2.2 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals forecast for Lens vs Marseille with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.46 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 68%. Lens score in 86% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Marseille; Marseille score in 78% while Lens shut them out 22% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.3%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 7.1%.
With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Lens vs Marseille; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Lens, full-time Lens is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every market for Lens vs Marseille
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 24% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Lens to win47%2.12
Draw24%4.16
Marseille to win30%3.31
Lens, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Marseille, draw no bet39%fair 2.55
Double chance
Lens or draw70%1.40
Marseille or draw54%1.84
Lens or Marseille (no draw)77%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.46
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 2.5 goals34%2.72
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.41
Not both teams to score32%2.77
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Lens to score86%fair 1.17
Marseille to score78%fair 1.28
Lens clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Marseille clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Lens to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Marseille to win to nil13%fair 7.46
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.3%
2-19%
1-27.1%
2-26.9%
1-06.1%
2-05.9%
Half-time / full-time
Lens / Lens29.5%
Marseille / Marseille18.2%
Draw / Lens14.3%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Draw / Marseille10.1%
Questions about Lens vs Marseille
Who is favourite in Lens vs Marseille?
The model gives Lens the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Lens vs Marseille?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Lens vs Marseille both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Lens find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Marseille in 78%.
What time does Lens vs Marseille kick off?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.