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Live 25 UTC
Ligue 1 Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Le HavreHomeLLLLL
Sun 8 Nov
LorientAwayLWWD
362836
Le Havre winDrawLorient win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.56
1.27 : 1.29
Favourite
37%
Lorient
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Le Havre vs Lorient odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.833.522.652.071.881.751.98Bet
22Bet2.733.382.562.001.811.751.98Bet
BC.Game2.703.352.541.981.791.722.00Bet
Betwinner2.833.522.652.071.881.751.98Bet
Melbet2.833.522.652.071.881.751.98Bet
Stake2.703.402.471.921.791.741.94Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Lorient to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Le Havre vs Lorient prediction: Le Havre 2.83 (1xBet), draw 3.52 (1xBet), Lorient 2.65 (Betwinner).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.07 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (BC.Game).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Le Havre or Lorient (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.27 : 1.29-1.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lorient, full-time Lorient
22% chance4.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

Our Le Havre vs Lorient prediction and pick

The Le Havre vs Lorient prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ligue 1 on Sunday, 8 November 2026 gives Le Havre a 36% chance, Lorient 37% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.56 in total, split 1.27 to Le Havre and 1.29 to Lorient. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is le Havre or Lorient (no draw) at 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.37. That price implies 73%, 1 points over the model figure.

Le Havre average 1.4 goals scored and 3.2 conceded across their last 5, Lorient 0.8 and 0.5 across 4.

Le Havre vs Lorient goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.88.

Both teams to score is 53%: Le Havre find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Lorient in 73%. Le Havre keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Lorient 28%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 10% and 1-0 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lorient, full-time Lorient leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Le Havre vs Lorient

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 28% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Le Havre to win36%2.83
Draw28%3.52
Lorient to win37%2.65
Le Havre, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Lorient, draw no bet51%fair 1.97

Double chance

Le Havre or draw64%1.57
Lorient or draw65%1.51
Le Havre or Lorient (no draw)72%1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals53%1.88
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%2.00

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Le Havre to score72%fair 1.39
Lorient to score73%fair 1.38
Le Havre clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Lorient clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Le Havre to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Lorient to win to nil26%fair 3.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-110%
1-09.8%
1-28.2%
2-18%
0-07.7%

Half-time / full-time

Lorient / Lorient21.7%
Le Havre / Le Havre21%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Lorient13.4%
Draw / Le Havre13.1%

Questions about Le Havre vs Lorient

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

The model gives Lorient the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Le Havre vs Lorient correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Le Havre vs Lorient both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Le Havre find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Lorient in 73%.

What time does Le Havre vs Lorient kick off?

Kick-off is 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Le Havre v LorientLe Havre or Lorient (no draw), 72%
1.37Bet