Ligue 1
Round 7 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
StrasbourgHomeLLLLW
1:3Half-time 1:0
Paris Saint GermainAwayWWWWW141769
Strasbourg winDrawParis Saint Germain win
Ligue 1
Round 7 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
StrasbourgHomeLLLLWParis Saint GermainAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.82 1.16 : 2.66
- Favourite
- 69% Paris Saint Germain
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.06 | 5.53 | 1.44 | 1.31 | 3.20 | 1.48 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Paris Saint Germain to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain are 7.06 for Strasbourg at 1xBet, 5.53 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.44 for Paris Saint Germain at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.31 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.20 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.50 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Paris Saint Germain to win
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw
86% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.31
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Paris Saint Germain, full-time Paris Saint Germain
47% chance2.11fair
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
Our Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction and pick
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction for the Ligue 1 on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Paris Saint Germain the clear favourite at 69%, with the draw at 17% and Strasbourg at 14%.
Expected goals are 1.16 for Strasbourg and 2.66 for Paris Saint Germain, a total of 3.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 64%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Paris Saint Germain to win is the main selection, rated 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.44 at 1xBet, which implies 69%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Paris Saint Germain or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.14.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Strasbourg have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 11 conceded, Paris Saint Germain 5 of 5 scoring 18 and conceding 6.
Goals forecast for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 53%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 47%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.31 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 64%. Strasbourg score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Paris Saint Germain; Paris Saint Germain score in 93% while Strasbourg shut them out 7% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9%, then 1-3 at 8% and 0-2 at 7.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Paris Saint Germain, full-time Paris Saint Germain is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.
Every market for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 14% / 17% / 69% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Strasbourg to win14%7.06
Draw17%5.53
Paris Saint Germain to win69%1.44
Strasbourg, draw no bet17%fair 5.81
Paris Saint Germain, draw no bet83%fair 1.21
Double chance
Strasbourg or draw31%3.10
Paris Saint Germain or draw86%1.14
Strasbourg or Paris Saint Germain (no draw)83%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.31
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.98
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 2.5 goals28%3.20
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.13
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.50
Halves
First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14
Team goals
Strasbourg to score69%fair 1.46
Paris Saint Germain to score93%fair 1.08
Strasbourg clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Strasbourg to win to nil6%fair 15.63
Paris Saint Germain to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29%
1-38%
0-27.8%
0-36.9%
1-16.8%
0-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
Paris Saint Germain / Paris Saint Germain47.4%
Draw / Paris Saint Germain17.7%
Draw / Draw8.2%
Strasbourg / Strasbourg8%
Draw / Strasbourg5%
Questions about Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model gives Paris Saint Germain the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 72% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Strasbourg find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Paris Saint Germain in 93%.
What time does Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
Kick-off is 15:15 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.