Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction

Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction, who wins and at what price

Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction for the Ligue 1 on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model makes Toulouse marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 27% and Le Mans at 30%.

Expected goals are 1.38 for Le Mans and 1.66 for Toulouse, a total of 3.04, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Le Mans or Toulouse (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Over the last 5 matches Le Mans stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Toulouse show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Le Mans vs Toulouse? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.70.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Le Mans score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Toulouse; Toulouse score in 81% while Le Mans shut them out 19% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Le Mans vs Toulouse: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (7.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Toulouse, full-time Toulouse leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.