Rennes vs Lille prediction

Our Rennes vs Lille prediction and pick

Rennes host Lille on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Ligue 1, and the model has Rennes at 45%, the draw at 26% and Lille at 29%: that is the Rennes vs Lille prediction in one line.

Rennes are expected to score 1.72 and Lille 1.34, so the total line is 3.06 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is rennes or Lille (no draw) at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 2 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Rennes stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Lille show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Rennes vs Lille goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Rennes score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Lille; Lille score in 74% while Rennes shut them out 26% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Rennes vs Lille: 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.1%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Rennes, full-time Rennes is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.