Ligue 1
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Le MansHomeWLLDL
Sun 8 Nov
MonacoAwayWLWDL252352
Le Mans winDrawMonaco win
Ligue 1
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Le MansHomeWLLDLMonacoAwayWLWDL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.12 1.23 : 1.89
- Favourite
- 53% Monaco
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Le Mans vs Monaco odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 | 1.64 | 2.46 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.24 | 4.14 | 1.74 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.74 | 1.56 | 2.36 | 1.54 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.54 | 2.33 | 1.55 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Monaco to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Le Mans vs Monaco prediction: Le Mans 4.41 (1xBet), draw 4.31 (1xBet), Monaco 1.80 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.64 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.47 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.32 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
53%
Our prediction
Monaco to win
Double chanceLe Mans or Monaco (no draw)
77% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Monaco, full-time Monaco
33% chance3.01fair
Le Mans vs Monaco prediction
Our Le Mans vs Monaco prediction and pick
The Le Mans vs Monaco prediction leans to Monaco: 53% against 25% for Le Mans, with 23% left for the draw, in the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.12 in total, split 1.23 to Le Mans and 1.89 to Monaco. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 61%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Monaco to win is the main selection, rated 53%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.80. That price implies 56%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Le Mans vs Monaco.
For a safer line, le Mans or Monaco (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.28.
Over the last 5 matches Le Mans stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Monaco show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Le Mans vs Monaco? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.64 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 61%: Le Mans find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Monaco in 85%. Le Mans keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and Monaco 29%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.3%, then 1-2 at 9.7% and 0-1 at 8.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Monaco, full-time Monaco leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Le Mans vs Monaco
The grid built from 1.23 and 1.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Le Mans to win25%4.41
Draw23%4.31
Monaco to win53%1.80
Le Mans, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Monaco, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Double chance
Le Mans or draw47%2.18
Monaco or draw75%1.27
Le Mans or Monaco (no draw)77%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.47
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.32
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Le Mans to score71%fair 1.41
Monaco to score85%fair 1.18
Le Mans clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Monaco clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Le Mans to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Monaco to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
1-29.7%
0-18.3%
0-27.9%
2-16.3%
1-36.1%
Half-time / full-time
Monaco / Monaco33.2%
Draw / Monaco16.3%
Le Mans / Le Mans14.1%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Le Mans8.8%
Questions about Le Mans vs Monaco
Le Mans or Monaco: which side does the model back?
The model gives Monaco the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Le Mans vs Monaco correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.
Le Mans vs Monaco both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Le Mans find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Monaco in 85%.
What time does Le Mans vs Monaco kick off?
Le Mans vs Monaco starts at 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.