Ligue 1
Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
StrasbourgHomeLLLLW
5:1Half-time 1:0
AuxerreAwayWLWDL512425
Strasbourg winDrawAuxerre win
Ligue 1
Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
StrasbourgHomeLLLLWAuxerreAwayWLWDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.25 1.94 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 51% Strasbourg
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Strasbourg vs Auxerre odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.87 | 4.16 | 4.16 | 1.66 | 2.42 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.85 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 2.34 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.87 | 3.84 | 4.05 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.87 | 3.84 | 4.05 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 2.39 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Strasbourg to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Strasbourg vs Auxerre are 1.87 for Strasbourg at Melbet, 4.16 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.16 for Auxerre at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.66 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.42 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (Melbet) and no 2.42 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
Strasbourg to win
Double chanceStrasbourg or Auxerre (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Strasbourg, full-time Strasbourg
33% chance3.04fairWon
Strasbourg vs Auxerre odds movement
Strasbourg win1.87-0.01
Draw4.16unchanged
Auxerre win4.16unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.66unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.42-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction
Our Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction and pick
Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction for the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Strasbourg a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Auxerre at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 3.25 in total, split 1.94 to Strasbourg and 1.31 to Auxerre. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Strasbourg vs Auxerre is strasbourg to win, a 51% chance. At 1.87 with Melbet the market prices it at 53%, against 51% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Strasbourg vs Auxerre.
For a safer line, strasbourg or Auxerre (no draw) covers 76% of outcomes at 1.29.
Strasbourg average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Auxerre 1.6 and 2.4 across 5.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Strasbourg vs Auxerre reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.66 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Strasbourg score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Auxerre; Auxerre score in 73% while Strasbourg shut them out 27% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Strasbourg vs Auxerre: 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.5%).
With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Strasbourg vs Auxerre; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Strasbourg, full-time Strasbourg is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
All markets, Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 24% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Strasbourg to win51%1.87
Draw24%4.16
Auxerre to win25%4.16
Strasbourg, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Auxerre, draw no bet33%fair 3.05
Double chance
Strasbourg or draw75%1.29
Auxerre or draw49%2.08
Strasbourg or Auxerre (no draw)76%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%1.66
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.44
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals37%2.42
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.57
Not both teams to score37%2.42
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Strasbourg to score86%fair 1.17
Auxerre to score73%fair 1.37
Strasbourg clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Auxerre clean sheet14%fair 6.94
Strasbourg to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Auxerre to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.9%
2-19.6%
1-07.5%
2-07.3%
1-26.5%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Strasbourg / Strasbourg32.9%
Draw / Strasbourg15.9%
Auxerre / Auxerre14.8%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Draw / Auxerre9%
Questions about Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
The model gives Strasbourg the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Strasbourg find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Auxerre in 73%.
When is Strasbourg vs Auxerre and where is the result shown?
Strasbourg vs Auxerre starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.