Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction

Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction, who wins and at what price

The Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction leans to Toulouse: 64% against 16% for Estac Troyes, with 21% left for the draw, in the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Toulouse are expected to score 2.18 and Estac Troyes 1.02, so the total line is 3.20 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is toulouse to win at 64%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.61. That price implies 62%, 1 points under the model figure.

Toulouse or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.17.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Estac Troyes 1 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 7.

Toulouse vs Estac Troyes over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.64.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Toulouse score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Estac Troyes; Estac Troyes score in 64% while Toulouse shut them out 36% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%, followed by 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-1 (9.1%).

With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Toulouse, full-time Toulouse is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.