Ligue 1
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
MarseilleHomeLWLWW
4:3Half-time 2:0
Le HavreAwayLLLLL642016
Marseille winDrawLe Havre win
Ligue 1
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
MarseilleHomeLWLWWLe HavreAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.31 2.25 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 64% Marseille
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Marseille vs Le Havre
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.53 | 5.08 | 6.05 | 1.49 | 2.61 | 1.59 | 2.24 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.45 | 5.08 | 6.49 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.60 | 1.47 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.42 | 5.32 | 6.73 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.45 | 5.08 | 6.49 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.44 | 5.20 | 6.40 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.62 | 2.20 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Marseille to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction: Marseille 1.53 (1xBet), draw 5.32 (Betwinner), Le Havre 6.73 (Betwinner).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (BC.Game) and no 2.25 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
64%
Our prediction
Marseille to win
Double chanceMarseille or draw
84% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Marseille, full-time Marseille
42% chance2.36fair
Marseille vs Le Havre prediction
Marseille vs Le Havre prediction and best bet
Marseille host Le Havre on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Ligue 1, and the model has Marseille at 64%, the draw at 20% and Le Havre at 16%: that is the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.31 in total, split 2.25 to Marseille and 1.06 to Le Havre. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 59%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is marseille to win at 64%. At 1.53 with 1xBet the market prices it at 65%, against 64% from the model.
Marseille or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.18.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Marseille have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 7 conceded, Le Havre 0 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 16.
Marseille vs Le Havre over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 58%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 59%. Marseille score in 90% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Le Havre; Le Havre score in 65% while Marseille shut them out 35% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%, followed by 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-1 (8.7%).
With the top scoreline at 9.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Marseille vs Le Havre; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Marseille, full-time Marseille leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Marseille vs Le Havre
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 64% / 20% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Marseille to win64%1.53
Draw20%5.32
Le Havre to win16%6.73
Marseille, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Le Havre, draw no bet20%fair 4.98
Double chance
Marseille or draw84%1.18
Le Havre or draw36%2.97
Marseille or Le Havre (no draw)80%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.49
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.18
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.33
Under 2.5 goals37%2.75
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.73
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.65
Not both teams to score41%2.25
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.28
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Marseille to score90%fair 1.12
Le Havre to score65%fair 1.53
Marseille clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Le Havre clean sheet11%fair 9.52
Marseille to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Le Havre to win to nil10%fair 10.31
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.8%
2-09.2%
1-18.7%
1-08.2%
3-17.3%
3-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Marseille / Marseille42.4%
Draw / Marseille18.2%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Le Havre / Le Havre9.2%
Draw / Le Havre6.1%
Questions about Marseille vs Le Havre
Marseille or Le Havre: which side does the model back?
The model gives Marseille the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Marseille vs Le Havre?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Havre?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Marseille find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Le Havre in 65%.
When is Marseille vs Le Havre and where is the result shown?
Marseille vs Le Havre starts at 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.