Ligue 1
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
AngersHomeWLLDL
2:5Half-time 1:2
MarseilleAwayLWLWW252550
Angers winDrawMarseille win
Ligue 1
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
AngersHomeWLLDLMarseilleAwayLWLWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.10 1.25 : 1.85
- Favourite
- 51% Marseille
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Angers vs Marseille odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.78 | 3.85 | 2.04 | 1.68 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 2.37 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Marseille to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Angers price at 3.78, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.85 and 1xBet have Marseille longest at 2.04.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
Marseille to win
Double chanceMarseille or draw
76% chance1.33
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Marseille, full-time Marseille
32% chance3.11fair
Angers vs Marseille prediction
Angers vs Marseille prediction, who wins and at what price
Angers host Marseille on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the Ligue 1, and the model has Marseille at 51%, the draw at 25% and Angers at 25%: that is the Angers vs Marseille prediction in one line.
Angers are expected to score 1.25 and Marseille 1.85, so the total line is 3.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Marseille to win is the main selection, rated 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 2.04. That price implies 49%, 2 points under the model figure.
A 3.6% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.
Marseille or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.33.
Over the last 5 matches Angers stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Marseille show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Angers vs Marseille? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.68.
Both teams to score is 62%: Angers find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Marseille in 84%. Angers keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Marseille 29%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%, followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Marseille, full-time Marseille is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, Angers vs Marseille
The grid built from 1.25 and 1.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Angers to win25%3.78
Draw25%3.85
Marseille to win51%2.04
Angers, draw no bet33%fair 3.08
Marseille, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Double chance
Angers or draw49%1.91
Marseille or draw76%1.33
Angers or Marseille (no draw)75%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals41%2.38
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.53
Not both teams to score38%2.37
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Angers to score71%fair 1.40
Marseille to score84%fair 1.19
Angers clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Marseille clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Angers to win to nil15%fair 6.90
Marseille to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
1-29.6%
0-18.3%
0-27.7%
2-16.5%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
Marseille / Marseille32.2%
Draw / Marseille16.1%
Angers / Angers14.8%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Draw / Angers9.1%
Questions about Angers vs Marseille
Angers or Marseille: which side does the model back?
The model gives Marseille the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Angers vs Marseille?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Angers vs Marseille both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Angers find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Marseille in 84%.
When do Angers play Marseille?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.