Ligue 1
Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
LensHomeLWLWL
2:1Half-time 0:1
Paris FCAwayWLWLW382735
Lens winDrawParis FC win
Ligue 1
Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
LensHomeLWLWLParis FCAwayWLWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.04 1.54 : 1.50
- Favourite
- 38% Lens
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Lens vs Paris FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.66 | 2.77 | 1.69 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lens to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Lens vs Paris FC prediction: Lens 2.62 (1xBet), draw 3.66 (1xBet), Paris FC 2.77 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.36 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Lens or Paris FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lens, full-time Lens
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.34fair
Lens vs Paris FC prediction
Lens vs Paris FC prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Lens vs Paris FC prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 38% home, 27% draw and 36% away in the Ligue 1. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Lens are expected to score 1.54 and Paris FC 1.50, so the total line is 3.04 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Lens or Paris FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 1 points over the model figure.
Form check: Lens have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 8 conceded, Paris FC 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 8.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Lens vs Paris FC
Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Lens scoring in 79% of runs and Paris FC in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Lens and 21% for Paris FC.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Lens vs Paris FC: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Lens vs Paris FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lens, full-time Lens leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Lens vs Paris FC
The grid built from 1.54 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lens to win38%2.62
Draw27%3.66
Paris FC to win36%2.77
Lens, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Paris FC, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Double chance
Lens or draw65%1.53
Paris FC or draw63%1.58
Lens or Paris FC (no draw)73%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.69
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.24
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 2.5 goals42%2.36
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.45
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.52
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Lens to score79%fair 1.27
Paris FC to score78%fair 1.29
Lens clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Paris FC clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Lens to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Paris FC to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.4%
0-17.2%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Lens / Lens23.2%
Paris FC / Paris FC22%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Lens13%
Draw / Paris FC12.5%
Questions about Lens vs Paris FC
Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?
The model gives Lens the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Lens vs Paris FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Lens vs Paris FC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Lens find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Paris FC in 78%.
What time does Lens vs Paris FC kick off?
Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.