Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction and best bet

Sunderland are the clear favourite in the Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction, rated 66% to win this Europa League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Dinamo Zagreb sit at 14% and the draw at 20%.

Expected goals are 2.14 for Sunderland and 0.90 for Dinamo Zagreb, a total of 3.04, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb is sunderland to win, a 66% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.47 at Melbet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Sunderland or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.13.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Sunderland average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Dinamo Zagreb 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.

How many goals in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.68 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 53%: Sunderland find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Dinamo Zagreb in 59%. Sunderland keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Dinamo Zagreb 12%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sunderland, full-time Sunderland leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.