AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction

Our AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction and pick

AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction for the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes AC Milan the clear favourite at 73%, with the draw at 16% and Ferencvarosi TC at 11%.

Expected goals are 2.48 for AC Milan and 0.83 for Ferencvarosi TC, a total of 3.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is aC Milan to win at 73%. At 1.36 with Melbet the market prices it at 74%, against 73% from the model.

AC Milan or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.08.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

AC Milan average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Ferencvarosi TC 3.2 and 0.6 across 5.

Goals forecast for AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 36% and under 3.5 58%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 64%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 22Bet pay 1.53.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. AC Milan score in 92% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for Ferencvarosi TC; Ferencvarosi TC score in 56% while AC Milan shut them out 44% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan is the top combination at 50%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.