Premier League
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SunderlandHomeLDDWL
0:0Half-time 0:0
LeedsAwayDLDDL323038
Sunderland winDrawLeeds win
Premier League
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SunderlandHomeLDDWLLeedsAwayDLDDL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.43 1.15 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 38% Leeds
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Sunderland vs Leeds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.01 | 3.24 | 2.67 | 2.27 | 1.74 | 1.85 | 1.87 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.65 | 3.12 | 2.82 | 2.06 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.85 | 2.19 | 1.73 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.85 | 2.06 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Leeds to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: Sunderland 3.01 (1xBet), draw 3.24 (1xBet), Leeds 2.90 (Stake).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.27 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Sunderland or Leeds (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Leeds, full-time Leeds
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Sunderland vs Leeds odds movement
Sunderland win3.01-0.01
Draw3.24-0.01
Leeds win2.90unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.27unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.82unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sunderland vs Leeds prediction
Sunderland vs Leeds prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Sunderland vs Leeds prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 32% home, 30% draw and 38% away in the Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Sunderland and 1.28 for Leeds, a total of 2.43, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is sunderland or Leeds (no draw) at 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.41. That price implies 71%, 1 points over the model figure.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 8 conceded, Leeds 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Sunderland vs Leeds
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 77%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 22Bet pay 1.82.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Sunderland scoring in 68% of runs and Leeds in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Sunderland and 32% for Leeds.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13%, then 0-1 at 11.3% and 1-0 at 10.1%.
With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sunderland vs Leeds; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Leeds, full-time Leeds leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sunderland vs Leeds
The grid built from 1.15 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sunderland to win32%3.01
Draw30%3.24
Leeds to win38%2.90
Sunderland, draw no bet46%fair 2.19
Leeds, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Double chance
Sunderland or draw62%1.56
Leeds or draw68%1.52
Sunderland or Leeds (no draw)70%1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals57%1.82
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.85
Not both teams to score48%2.06
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Sunderland to score68%fair 1.46
Leeds to score72%fair 1.39
Sunderland clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Leeds clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Sunderland to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Leeds to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
0-111.3%
1-010.1%
0-08.8%
1-28.3%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Leeds / Leeds23%
Sunderland / Sunderland18.9%
Draw / Draw17.4%
Draw / Leeds14.4%
Draw / Sunderland12.5%
Questions about Sunderland vs Leeds
Who is favourite in Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model gives Leeds the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Sunderland vs Leeds?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Sunderland find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Leeds in 72%.
When is Sunderland vs Leeds and where is the result shown?
Sunderland vs Leeds starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.