Premier League
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
BournemouthHomeWWWWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
SunderlandAwayLDDWL482923
Bournemouth winDrawSunderland win
Premier League
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
BournemouthHomeWWWWWSunderlandAwayLDDWL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.45 1.48 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 48% Bournemouth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Bournemouth vs Sunderland
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.43 | 3.90 | 2.15 | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bournemouth to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction: Bournemouth 2.14 (1xBet), draw 3.43 (1xBet), Sunderland 3.90 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.89 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Bournemouth or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bournemouth, full-time Bournemouth
30% chance3.38fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Bournemouth vs Sunderland odds movement
Bournemouth win2.14unchanged
Draw3.43unchanged
Sunderland win3.90-0.25
Over 2.5 goals2.15-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.81unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction
Our Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction and pick
The Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction leans to Bournemouth: 48% against 23% for Sunderland, with 29% left for the draw, in the Premier League on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.48 for Bournemouth and 0.97 for Sunderland, a total of 2.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Bournemouth vs Sunderland is bournemouth or draw, a 77% chance. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 77% from the model.
Form check: Bournemouth have won 5 of their last 5 with 13 scored and 0 conceded, Sunderland 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 8.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 77%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Bournemouth score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Sunderland; Sunderland score in 62% while Bournemouth shut them out 38% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.8%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bournemouth, full-time Bournemouth is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 29% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Bournemouth to win48%2.14
Draw29%3.43
Sunderland to win23%3.90
Bournemouth, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Sunderland, draw no bet33%fair 3.08
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw77%1.32
Sunderland or draw52%1.82
Bournemouth or Sunderland (no draw)71%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.15
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals57%1.81
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.83
Not both teams to score49%1.89
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Bournemouth to score77%fair 1.30
Sunderland to score62%fair 1.61
Bournemouth clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Sunderland clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Bournemouth to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Sunderland to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-112.4%
2-09.5%
2-19.2%
0-08.6%
0-18.4%
Half-time / full-time
Bournemouth / Bournemouth29.6%
Draw / Bournemouth17.1%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Sunderland / Sunderland13.7%
Draw / Sunderland9.7%
Questions about Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The model gives Bournemouth the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Bournemouth find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Sunderland in 62%.
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland and where is the result shown?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland starts at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.