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Live 21 UTC
HNL Round 11 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
Dinamo ZagrebHomeWWLWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
HNK RijekaAwayLWWLD
632017
Dinamo Zagreb winDrawHNK Rijeka win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.15
2.14 : 1.01
Favourite
63%
Dinamo Zagreb
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.554.105.201.602.231.652.11Bet
22Bet1.604.005.601.682.191.772.05Bet
BC.Game1.524.105.401.602.221.652.04Bet
Betwinner1.604.005.601.742.091.702.15Bet
Melbet1.604.005.601.742.091.772.05Bet
Stake1.554.105.001.592.161.681.98Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dinamo Zagreb to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka prediction: Dinamo Zagreb 1.60 (Melbet), draw 4.10 (1xBet), HNK Rijeka 5.60 (Melbet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.23 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (22Bet) and no 2.15 (Betwinner).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

63%

Our prediction

Dinamo Zagreb to win
BankerExpected goals 2.14 : 1.01+1.4% against the best price
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw
83% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dinamo Zagreb, full-time Dinamo Zagreb
41% chance2.42fair

Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka prediction

Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka prediction, who wins and at what price

Dinamo Zagreb are the clear favourite in the Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka prediction, rated 63% to win this HNL match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. HNK Rijeka sit at 17% and the draw at 20%.

Expected goals are 2.14 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.01 for HNK Rijeka, a total of 3.15, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is dinamo Zagreb to win at 63%. The best price in our comparison is 1.60 at Melbet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.

For a safer line, dinamo Zagreb or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.14.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Dinamo Zagreb stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; HNK Rijeka show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 61%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.74 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 58%: Dinamo Zagreb find the net in 88% of simulated matches and HNK Rijeka in 64%. Dinamo Zagreb keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and HNK Rijeka 12%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%, followed by 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-1 (9.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dinamo Zagreb, full-time Dinamo Zagreb leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 63% / 20% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Dinamo Zagreb to win63%1.60
Draw20%4.10
HNK Rijeka to win17%5.60
Dinamo Zagreb, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
HNK Rijeka, draw no bet21%fair 4.81

Double chance

Dinamo Zagreb or draw83%1.14
HNK Rijeka or draw37%2.33
Dinamo Zagreb or HNK Rijeka (no draw)80%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.74
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.23
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.77
Not both teams to score42%2.15

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Dinamo Zagreb to score88%fair 1.13
HNK Rijeka to score64%fair 1.57
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet36%fair 2.75
HNK Rijeka clean sheet12%fair 8.47
Dinamo Zagreb to win to nil34%fair 2.99
HNK Rijeka to win to nil11%fair 9.26

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
2-09.8%
1-19.3%
1-09.2%
3-17.1%
3-07%

Half-time / full-time

Dinamo Zagreb / Dinamo Zagreb41.4%
Draw / Dinamo Zagreb18.5%
Draw / Draw11.3%
HNK Rijeka / HNK Rijeka9.3%
Draw / HNK Rijeka6.3%

Questions about Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

Dinamo Zagreb or HNK Rijeka: which side does the model back?

The model gives Dinamo Zagreb the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Dinamo Zagreb find the net in 88% of simulated matches and HNK Rijeka in 64%.

When do Dinamo Zagreb play HNK Rijeka?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Dinamo Zagreb v HNK RijekaDinamo Zagreb to win, 63%
1.60Bet