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Live 2 UTC
Europa League Matchday 4 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
AnderlechtHomeLLWLW
Thu 5 Nov
Red Bull SalzburgAwayWDWWW
502426
Anderlecht winDrawRed Bull Salzburg win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.12
1.85 : 1.27
Favourite
50%
Anderlecht
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.934.003.821.642.371.532.36Bet
22Bet1.893.903.721.612.331.532.36Bet
BC.Game1.903.803.601.582.321.502.36Bet
Betwinner1.934.003.821.642.371.532.36Bet
Melbet1.934.003.821.642.371.532.36Bet
Stake1.913.803.551.532.341.512.34Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Anderlecht to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: Anderlecht 1.93 (1xBet), draw 4.00 (1xBet), Red Bull Salzburg 3.82 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.64 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.37 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (22Bet) and no 2.36 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

50%

Our prediction

Anderlecht to win
LeanExpected goals 1.85 : 1.27-2.7% against the best price
Double chanceAnderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw)
76% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Anderlecht, full-time Anderlecht
32% chance3.13fair

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Our Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction and pick

The Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction leans to Anderlecht: 50% against 26% for Red Bull Salzburg, with 24% left for the draw, in the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.12 in total, split 1.85 to Anderlecht and 1.27 to Red Bull Salzburg. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg is anderlecht to win, a 50% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.93. That price implies 52%, 1 points over the model figure.

Anderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.28.

Form check: Anderlecht have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, Red Bull Salzburg 4 of 5 scoring 16 and conceding 6.

Goals forecast for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.64 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Anderlecht score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Red Bull Salzburg; Red Bull Salzburg score in 72% while Anderlecht shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 8.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Anderlecht, full-time Anderlecht is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 24% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Anderlecht to win50%1.93
Draw24%4.00
Red Bull Salzburg to win26%3.82
Anderlecht, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Red Bull Salzburg, draw no bet34%fair 2.98

Double chance

Anderlecht or draw75%1.30
Red Bull Salzburg or draw50%1.95
Anderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw)76%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.37
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.53
Not both teams to score38%2.36

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Anderlecht to score84%fair 1.19
Red Bull Salzburg to score72%fair 1.39
Anderlecht clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Anderlecht to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Red Bull Salzburg to win to nil15%fair 6.90

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.6%
1-08.2%
2-07.6%
1-26.6%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

Anderlecht / Anderlecht31.9%
Draw / Anderlecht15.9%
Red Bull Salzburg / Red Bull Salzburg15.1%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Red Bull Salzburg9.3%

Questions about Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

The model gives Anderlecht the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Anderlecht find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Red Bull Salzburg in 72%.

What time does Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg kick off?

Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Anderlecht v Red Bull SalzburgAnderlecht to win, 50%
1.93Bet