Europa League
Matchday 4 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
Levski SofiaHomeDWWDW
Thu 5 Nov
JagielloniaAwayLLWWW482626
Levski Sofia winDrawJagiellonia win
Europa League
Matchday 4 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
Levski SofiaHomeDWWDWJagielloniaAwayLLWWW- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.80 1.64 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 48% Levski Sofia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.79 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.96 | 3.66 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 2.02 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.97 | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.78 | 1.99 | 1.63 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.79 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.79 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.45 | 1.75 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Levski Sofia to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Levski Sofia price at 2.00, Melbet lead the draw at 3.75 and Melbet have Jagiellonia longest at 3.79.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (22Bet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Levski Sofia or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Levski Sofia, full-time Levski Sofia
30% chance3.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction, who wins and at what price
The Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction leans to Levski Sofia: 48% against 26% for Jagiellonia, with 26% left for the draw, in the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
Levski Sofia are expected to score 1.64 and Jagiellonia 1.16, so the total line is 2.80 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia is levski Sofia or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia.
Form check: Levski Sofia have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 3 conceded, Jagiellonia 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
How many goals in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Melbet pay 1.83.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Levski Sofia score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Jagiellonia; Jagiellonia score in 69% while Levski Sofia shut them out 31% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9.5%.
With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Levski Sofia, full-time Levski Sofia leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
The grid built from 1.64 and 1.16 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Levski Sofia to win48%2.00
Draw26%3.75
Jagiellonia to win26%3.79
Levski Sofia, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Jagiellonia, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw74%1.30
Jagiellonia or draw52%1.88
Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia (no draw)74%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%2.06
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.12
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Levski Sofia to score81%fair 1.24
Jagiellonia to score69%fair 1.46
Levski Sofia clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Jagiellonia clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Levski Sofia to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Jagiellonia to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-010%
2-19.5%
2-08.2%
0-17.1%
1-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Levski Sofia / Levski Sofia29.7%
Draw / Levski Sofia16.1%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia15.3%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Jagiellonia9.9%
Questions about Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
Who is favourite in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
The model gives Levski Sofia the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Levski Sofia find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Jagiellonia in 69%.
When is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.