League Cup
SunderlandHomeLDDWL
3:2Half-time 3:1
BrentfordAwayDLDLW222553
Sunderland winDrawBrentford win
SunderlandHomeLDDWLBrentfordAwayDLDLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.91 1.10 : 1.81
- Favourite
- 53% Brentford
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Sunderland vs Brentford
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.20 | 3.82 | 1.85 | 1.76 | 2.09 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.58 | 4.24 | 1.67 | 1.65 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.61 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 1.62 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.58 | 4.24 | 1.67 | 1.65 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.58 | 4.24 | 1.67 | 1.65 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.20 | 4.30 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Brentford to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Sunderland price at 5.20, Stake lead the draw at 4.30 and 1xBet have Brentford longest at 1.85.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 103.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.30 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (Stake) and no 2.25 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
Brentford to win
Double chanceBrentford or draw
78% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Brentford, full-time Brentford
34% chance2.95fair
Sunderland v Brentford head to head
0Sunderland wins
1Draw
0Brentford wins
- 5 Sep 26Brentford1:1Sunderland
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Sunderland scored 1, Brentford scored 1.
Sunderland vs Brentford odds movement
Sunderland win5.20unchanged
Draw4.30unchanged
Brentford win1.85unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.76-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.30unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sunderland vs Brentford prediction
Sunderland vs Brentford prediction, who wins and at what price
Brentford are a narrow favourite in the Sunderland vs Brentford prediction, rated 53% to win this League Cup match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Sunderland sit at 22% and the draw at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.10 for Sunderland and 1.81 for Brentford, a total of 2.91, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Sunderland vs Brentford is brentford to win, a 53% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.85. That price implies 54%, 1 points over the model figure.
Brentford or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.25.
Over the last 5 matches Sunderland stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Brentford show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Sunderland vs Brentford? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Sunderland vs Brentford reads 79% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 57%: Sunderland find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Brentford in 84%. Sunderland keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Brentford 33%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sunderland vs Brentford: 1-1 (10.8%), 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Brentford, full-time Brentford leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sunderland vs Brentford
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 25% / 53% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sunderland to win22%5.20
Draw25%4.30
Brentford to win53%1.85
Sunderland, draw no bet29%fair 3.41
Brentford, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Double chance
Sunderland or draw47%2.35
Brentford or draw78%1.25
Sunderland or Brentford (no draw)75%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.76
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Under 2.5 goals45%2.30
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.25
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Sunderland to score67%fair 1.50
Brentford to score84%fair 1.20
Sunderland clean sheet16%fair 6.10
Brentford clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Sunderland to win to nil15%fair 6.62
Brentford to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
0-19.9%
1-29.8%
0-28.9%
1-06%
2-16%
Half-time / full-time
Brentford / Brentford33.9%
Draw / Brentford17.1%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Sunderland / Sunderland12.9%
Draw / Sunderland8.5%
Questions about Sunderland vs Brentford
Sunderland or Brentford: which side does the model back?
The model gives Brentford the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Sunderland vs Brentford?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Sunderland vs Brentford?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Sunderland find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Brentford in 84%.
When is Sunderland vs Brentford and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.