NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction, who wins and at what price

NK Slaven Belupo host Dinamo Zagreb on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the HNL, and the model has Dinamo Zagreb at 70%, the draw at 17% and NK Slaven Belupo at 13%: that is the NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.02 for NK Slaven Belupo and 2.55 for Dinamo Zagreb, a total of 3.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is dinamo Zagreb to win at 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Dinamo Zagreb or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.07.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

NK Slaven Belupo average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Dinamo Zagreb 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 68%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 32% and under 3.5 is 52%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 1xBet pay 1.33.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. NK Slaven Belupo score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Dinamo Zagreb; Dinamo Zagreb score in 92% while NK Slaven Belupo shut them out 8% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.3%, then 0-2 at 9.2% and 1-3 at 7.9%.

With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Dinamo Zagreb, full-time Dinamo Zagreb is the top combination at 48%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.