Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction, who wins and at what price

Sparta Praha host Bournemouth on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Europa League, and the model has Bournemouth at 63%, the draw at 21% and Sparta Praha at 16%: that is the Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.16 in total, split 1.01 to Sparta Praha and 2.15 to Bournemouth. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Bournemouth to win is the main selection, rated 63%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.56. That price implies 64%, 1 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, bournemouth or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.17.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Sparta Praha average 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Bournemouth 2.6 and 0.0 across 5.

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.62.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Sparta Praha score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Bournemouth; Bournemouth score in 88% while Sparta Praha shut them out 12% of the time.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.9%, then 0-2 at 9.8% and 1-1 at 9.2%.

With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bournemouth, full-time Bournemouth is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.