Czech Liga
Baník OstravaHomeWLDWL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Sparta PrahaAwayDLWLD192160
Baník Ostrava winDrawSparta Praha win
Baník OstravaHomeWLDWLSparta PrahaAwayDLWLD- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.16 1.09 : 2.07
- Favourite
- 60% Sparta Praha
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.49 | 4.05 | 1.64 | 1.57 | 2.29 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sparta Praha to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction: Baník Ostrava 4.49 (1xBet), draw 4.05 (1xBet), Sparta Praha 1.64 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.57 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.29 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
60%
Our prediction
Sparta Praha to win
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw
81% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sparta Praha, full-time Sparta Praha
39% chance2.58fair
Baník Ostrava v Sparta Praha head to head
1Baník Ostrava wins
0Draws
0Sparta Praha wins
- 28 Oct 26Sparta Praha0:2Baník Ostrava
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Baník Ostrava scored 2, Sparta Praha scored 0.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction
Our Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction and pick
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction for the Czech Liga on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Sparta Praha the clear favourite at 60%, with the draw at 21% and Baník Ostrava at 19%.
Expected goals are 1.09 for Baník Ostrava and 2.07 for Sparta Praha, a total of 3.16, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is sparta Praha to win at 60%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.64. That price implies 61%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, sparta Praha or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.17.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Baník Ostrava average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Sparta Praha 1.0 and 0.8 across 5.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 61%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.57.
BTTS yes stands at 59%. Baník Ostrava score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Sparta Praha; Sparta Praha score in 87% while Baník Ostrava shut them out 13% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.9%, then 1-1 at 9.6% and 0-2 at 9.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sparta Praha, full-time Sparta Praha leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 21% / 60% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Baník Ostrava to win19%4.49
Draw21%4.05
Sparta Praha to win60%1.64
Baník Ostrava, draw no bet24%fair 4.15
Sparta Praha, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Double chance
Baník Ostrava or draw40%2.13
Sparta Praha or draw81%1.17
Baník Ostrava or Sparta Praha (no draw)79%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.57
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.57
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Under 2.5 goals39%2.29
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.59
Not both teams to score41%2.21
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal82%fair 1.21
Team goals
Baník Ostrava to score66%fair 1.51
Sparta Praha to score87%fair 1.14
Baník Ostrava clean sheet13%fair 7.94
Sparta Praha clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Baník Ostrava to win to nil12%fair 8.62
Sparta Praha to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.9%
1-19.6%
0-29.1%
0-18.8%
1-36.8%
0-36.3%
Half-time / full-time
Sparta Praha / Sparta Praha38.7%
Draw / Sparta Praha17.8%
Draw / Draw11.6%
Baník Ostrava / Baník Ostrava10.8%
Draw / Baník Ostrava7.1%
Questions about Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava or Sparta Praha: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sparta Praha the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Baník Ostrava find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Sparta Praha in 87%.
When is Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha and where is the result shown?
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha starts at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.