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Live 26 UTC
Europa League Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
Olympiakos PiraeusHomeWWWWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Sparta PrahaAwayDLWLD
642115
Olympiakos Piraeus winDrawSparta Praha win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
2.88
2.01 : 0.87
Favourite
64%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.524.516.541.782.131.841.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Olympiakos Piraeus to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha are 1.52 for Olympiakos Piraeus at 1xBet, 4.51 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.54 for Sparta Praha at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

64%

Our prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus to win
BankerExpected goals 2.01 : 0.87-2.9% against the best price
Double chanceOlympiakos Piraeus or draw
85% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Olympiakos Piraeus, full-time Olympiakos Piraeus
42% chance2.41fair

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction and best bet

Olympiakos Piraeus host Sparta Praha on Thursday, 22 October 2026 in the Europa League, and the model has Olympiakos Piraeus at 64%, the draw at 21% and Sparta Praha at 15%: that is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 2.01 to Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.87 to Sparta Praha. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is olympiakos Piraeus to win at 64%. At 1.52 with 1xBet the market prices it at 66%, against 64% from the model.

For a safer line, olympiakos Piraeus or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.14.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Olympiakos Piraeus have won 5 of their last 5 with 13 scored and 2 conceded, Sparta Praha 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.78.

Both teams to score is 51%: Olympiakos Piraeus find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Sparta Praha in 58%. Olympiakos Piraeus keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Sparta Praha 13%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.3%, then 1-0 at 11.3% and 2-1 at 9.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Olympiakos Piraeus, full-time Olympiakos Piraeus is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Olympiakos Piraeus to win64%1.52
Draw21%4.51
Sparta Praha to win15%6.54
Olympiakos Piraeus, draw no bet81%fair 1.24
Sparta Praha, draw no bet19%fair 5.21

Double chance

Olympiakos Piraeus or draw85%1.14
Sparta Praha or draw36%2.67
Olympiakos Piraeus or Sparta Praha (no draw)79%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.78
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%2.13
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.84
Not both teams to score49%1.88

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Olympiakos Piraeus to score87%fair 1.15
Sparta Praha to score58%fair 1.72
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Sparta Praha clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Olympiakos Piraeus to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Sparta Praha to win to nil12%fair 8.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
1-011.3%
2-19.9%
1-19.8%
3-07.6%
3-16.6%

Half-time / full-time

Olympiakos Piraeus / Olympiakos Piraeus41.5%
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus19.4%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Sparta Praha / Sparta Praha8.4%
Draw / Sparta Praha6%

Questions about Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Olympiakos Piraeus or Sparta Praha: which side does the model back?

The model gives Olympiakos Piraeus the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Olympiakos Piraeus find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Sparta Praha in 58%.

When do Olympiakos Piraeus play Sparta Praha?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta PrahaOlympiakos Piraeus to win, 64%
1.52Bet