Premier League
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Manchester UnitedHomeLDLLL
0:3Half-time 0:2
BournemouthAwayWWWWW432631
Manchester United winDrawBournemouth win
Premier League
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Manchester UnitedHomeLDLLLBournemouthAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.00 1.64 : 1.36
- Favourite
- 43% Manchester United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Manchester United vs Bournemouth
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.74 | 3.20 | 1.71 | 2.33 | 1.52 | 2.40 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.30 | 3.53 | 3.09 | 1.74 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.34 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.86 | 1.78 | 1.99 | 1.64 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.35 | 3.53 | 3.01 | 1.77 | 2.13 | 1.60 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.35 | 3.53 | 3.01 | 1.77 | 2.13 | 1.60 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 1.75 | 2.04 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Manchester United to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Manchester United vs Bournemouth are 2.42 for Manchester United at Stake, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.20 for Bournemouth at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 100.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (BC.Game) and no 2.40 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Manchester United or Bournemouth (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Manchester United, full-time Manchester United
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction
Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction, who wins and at what price
Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction for the Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Manchester United marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 26% and Bournemouth at 31%.
Manchester United are expected to score 1.64 and Bournemouth 1.36, so the total line is 3.00 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 61%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is manchester United or Bournemouth (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Manchester United average 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Bournemouth 2.6 and 0.0 across 5.
How many goals in Manchester United vs Bournemouth? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.78 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Manchester United scoring in 81% of runs and Bournemouth in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Manchester United and 19% for Bournemouth.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Manchester United vs Bournemouth: 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Manchester United, full-time Manchester United leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Manchester United vs Bournemouth
The grid built from 1.64 and 1.36 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Manchester United to win43%2.42
Draw26%3.74
Bournemouth to win31%3.20
Manchester United, draw no bet58%fair 1.71
Bournemouth, draw no bet42%fair 2.40
Double chance
Manchester United or draw69%1.43
Bournemouth or draw57%1.72
Manchester United or Bournemouth (no draw)74%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.78
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.33
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.64
Not both teams to score39%2.40
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Manchester United to score81%fair 1.24
Bournemouth to score74%fair 1.35
Manchester United clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Bournemouth clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Manchester United to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Bournemouth to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-19.1%
1-08.2%
1-27.6%
0-16.8%
2-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Manchester United / Manchester United26.8%
Bournemouth / Bournemouth18.5%
Draw / Manchester United14.5%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Bournemouth11.1%
Questions about Manchester United vs Bournemouth
Who is favourite in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Manchester United the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Manchester United find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Bournemouth in 74%.
What time does Manchester United vs Bournemouth kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.