Europa League Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT

BournemouthHomeWWWWW

3:0Half-time 2:0

AC MilanAwayWLWLW

492427

Bournemouth winDrawAC Milan win

Kick-off: 19:00
Expected goals: 2.99
Favourite: 49%
Over 2.5 goals: 57%
Both teams to score: 59%
Prices compared: 1

Bournemouth vs AC Milan odds comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5	BTTS yes	BTTS no
1xBet	2.01	3.86	3.72	1.75	2.20	1.59	2.24	Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Bournemouth to win partner prices

1xBetBest price2.01Bet now

Best 1X2 lines behind the Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction: Bournemouth 2.01 (1xBet), draw 3.86 (1xBet), AC Milan 3.72 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.75 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.24 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

Bournemouth or AC Milan (no draw)

LeanExpected goals 1.75 : 1.24-1.5% against the best price

1.301xBet Bet at 1xBet

Goal lineOver 2.5 goals

57% chance1.75

BTTSBoth teams to score

59% chance1.59

Goal lineOver 1.5 goals

80% chance1.25fair

ScorelineCorrect score 1-1

11% chance9.17fair

Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bournemouth, full-time Bournemouth

31% chance3.27fair

First halfFirst-half goal

74% chance1.35fair

Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction

Our Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction and pick

Bournemouth are a narrow favourite in the Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction, rated 49% to win this Europa League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. AC Milan sit at 27% and the draw at 24%.

Bournemouth are expected to score 1.75 and AC Milan 1.24, so the total line is 2.99 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is bournemouth or AC Milan (no draw) at 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 1 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Bournemouth stand at 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; AC Milan show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Bournemouth vs AC Milan? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.75.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Bournemouth scoring in 83% of runs and AC Milan in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Bournemouth and 17% for AC Milan.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%, followed by 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Bournemouth vs AC Milan; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bournemouth, full-time Bournemouth leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Bournemouth vs AC Milan

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 24% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Bournemouth to win49%2.01

Draw24%3.86

AC Milan to win27%3.72

Bournemouth, draw no bet65%fair 1.54

AC Milan, draw no bet35%fair 2.84

Double chance

Bournemouth or draw73%1.32

AC Milan or draw51%1.89

Bournemouth or AC Milan (no draw)76%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05

Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25

Over 2.5 goals57%1.75

Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85

Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46

Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98

Under 2.5 goals43%2.20

Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.59

Not both teams to score41%2.24

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35

Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57

Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Bournemouth to score83%fair 1.21

AC Milan to score71%fair 1.41

Bournemouth clean sheet29%fair 3.46

AC Milan clean sheet17%fair 5.75

Bournemouth to win to nil27%fair 3.76

AC Milan to win to nil16%fair 6.25

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00

Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

2-19.5%

1-08.8%

2-07.7%

1-26.8%

0-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

Bournemouth / Bournemouth30.6%

Draw / Bournemouth15.8%

AC Milan / AC Milan15.5%

Draw / Draw13.3%

Draw / AC Milan9.7%

Questions about Bournemouth vs AC Milan

Who is favourite in Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

The model gives Bournemouth the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Bournemouth vs AC Milan both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Bournemouth find the net in 83% of simulated matches and AC Milan in 71%.

What time does Bournemouth vs AC Milan kick off?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Bournemouth v AC MilanBournemouth or AC Milan (no draw), 76%

1.30 Bet