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Live 16 UTC
Czech Republic Cup Round of 16 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Sparta PrahaHomeDLWLD
0:2Half-time 0:1
Baník OstravaAwayWLDWL
78139
Sparta Praha winDrawBaník Ostrava win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.39
2.66 : 0.73
Favourite
78%
Sparta Praha
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.136.3012.701.412.522.031.69Bet
22Bet1.285.808.571.452.631.871.87Bet
BC.Game1.285.209.201.462.561.811.85Bet
Betwinner1.285.808.571.452.631.871.87Bet
Melbet1.285.808.571.452.631.871.87Bet
Stake1.236.009.20--1.831.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sparta Praha to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava prediction: Sparta Praha 1.28 (Melbet), draw 6.30 (1xBet), Baník Ostrava 12.70 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (1xBet) and no 1.87 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

78%

Our prediction

Sparta Praha to win
BankerExpected goals 2.66 : 0.73+0.2% against the best price
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw
92% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.46
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sparta Praha, full-time Sparta Praha
55% chance1.81fair

Sparta Praha v Baník Ostrava head to head

0Sparta Praha wins
1Draw
0Baník Ostrava wins
  • 18 Oct 26Baník Ostrava0:0Sparta Praha

1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Sparta Praha scored 0, Baník Ostrava scored 0.

Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava prediction

Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava prediction and best bet

Sparta Praha are the clear favourite in the Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava prediction, rated 78% to win this Czech Republic Cup match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Baník Ostrava sit at 8% and the draw at 13%.

Sparta Praha are expected to score 2.66 and Baník Ostrava 0.73, so the total line is 3.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 48%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is sparta Praha to win at 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.

Sparta Praha or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.05.

The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Sparta Praha have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 4 conceded, Baník Ostrava 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 6.

Goals forecast for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; BC.Game pay 1.46.

Both teams to score is 48%: Sparta Praha find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Baník Ostrava in 52%. Sparta Praha keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and Baník Ostrava 7%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: 2-0 (11.9%), 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9%).

With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sparta Praha, full-time Sparta Praha is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sparta Praha to win78%1.28
Draw13%6.30
Baník Ostrava to win8%12.70
Sparta Praha, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Baník Ostrava, draw no bet10%fair 10.31

Double chance

Sparta Praha or draw92%1.05
Baník Ostrava or draw22%4.21
Sparta Praha or Baník Ostrava (no draw)87%1.12

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.46
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals35%2.63
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78

BTTS

Both teams to score48%2.03
Not both teams to score52%1.87

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Sparta Praha to score93%fair 1.08
Baník Ostrava to score52%fair 1.93
Sparta Praha clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Baník Ostrava clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Sparta Praha to win to nil44%fair 2.26
Baník Ostrava to win to nil6%fair 15.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.9%
3-010.6%
1-09%
2-18.7%
3-17.7%
4-07%

Half-time / full-time

Sparta Praha / Sparta Praha55.2%
Draw / Sparta Praha19.9%
Draw / Draw8.1%
Baník Ostrava / Baník Ostrava4.1%
Baník Ostrava / Sparta Praha3.1%

Questions about Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava

Who is favourite in Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?

The model gives Sparta Praha the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 13%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Sparta Praha find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Baník Ostrava in 52%.

When is Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sparta Praha v Baník OstravaSparta Praha to win, 78%
1.28Bet