Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
CelticHomeWLWDL
1:2Half-time 0:0
Celta VigoAwayLWWDL362737
Celtic winDrawCelta Vigo win
Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
CelticHomeWLWDLCelta VigoAwayLWWDL- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.97 1.46 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 38% Celta Vigo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Celtic vs Celta Vigo odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.60 | 2.57 | 1.78 | 2.13 | 1.57 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Celta Vigo to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Celtic price at 2.74, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.60 and 1xBet have Celta Vigo longest at 2.57.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Celtic or Celta Vigo (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction
Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction for Thursday, 22 October 2026: 36% home, 27% draw and 38% away in the Europa League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Celtic are expected to score 1.46 and Celta Vigo 1.51, so the total line is 2.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Celtic or Celta Vigo (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 2 points over the model figure.
Over the last 5 matches Celtic stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Celta Vigo show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.78 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 60%: Celtic find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Celta Vigo in 78%. Celtic keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Celta Vigo 23%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.3%, then 1-2 at 8.5% and 2-1 at 8.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market for Celtic vs Celta Vigo
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.51 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Celtic to win36%2.74
Draw27%3.60
Celta Vigo to win38%2.57
Celtic, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Celta Vigo, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Double chance
Celtic or draw63%1.56
Celta Vigo or draw65%1.50
Celtic or Celta Vigo (no draw)73%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.78
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals43%2.13
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.28
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Celtic to score77%fair 1.30
Celta Vigo to score78%fair 1.28
Celtic clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Celta Vigo clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Celtic to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Celta Vigo to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-17.7%
1-07.5%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Celta Vigo / Celta Vigo23.2%
Celtic / Celtic21.7%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Celta Vigo13.1%
Draw / Celtic12.5%
Questions about Celtic vs Celta Vigo
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
The model gives Celta Vigo the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Celtic find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Celta Vigo in 78%.
When do Celtic play Celta Vigo?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.