Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction

Our Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction and pick

The Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction leans to Celtic: 61% against 19% for Heart Of Midlothian, with 20% left for the draw, in the Premiership on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.21 for Celtic and 1.19 for Heart Of Midlothian, a total of 3.40, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is celtic to win at 61%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.58. That price implies 63%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian.

Celtic or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.17.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Celtic have won 2 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 8 conceded, Heart Of Midlothian 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 13.

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian reads 85% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 44% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 35%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.41.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Celtic score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Heart Of Midlothian; Heart Of Midlothian score in 70% while Celtic shut them out 30% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.7%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-0 at 8.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Celtic, full-time Celtic leads at 40%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.