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Live 6 UTC
Premiership Round 12 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
FalkirkHomeLWWWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
CelticAwayWLWDL
162064
Falkirk winDrawCeltic win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.26
1.04 : 2.22
Favourite
64%
Celtic
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Falkirk vs Celtic

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.964.801.441.432.461.602.19Bet
22Bet5.555.501.451.442.751.632.25Bet
BC.Game6.004.701.441.492.481.632.14Bet
Betwinner5.555.501.451.442.751.632.25Bet
Melbet5.555.551.441.442.751.632.25Bet
Stake6.005.001.441.452.651.622.15Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Celtic to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Falkirk vs Celtic are 6.00 for Falkirk at Stake, 5.55 for the draw at Melbet and 1.45 for Celtic at 22Bet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.49 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (Melbet) and no 2.25 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

64%

Our prediction

Celtic to win
BankerLostExpected goals 1.04 : 2.22-7.5% against the best price
Double chanceCeltic or draw
84% chance1.14Lost
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.49Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.63Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.20fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celtic, full-time Celtic
42% chance2.37fairLost

Falkirk vs Celtic odds movement

Falkirk win6.00-0.50
Draw5.55unchanged
Celtic win1.45-0.05
Over 2.5 goals1.49-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.75unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Falkirk vs Celtic prediction

Falkirk vs Celtic prediction and best bet

Celtic are the clear favourite in the Falkirk vs Celtic prediction, rated 64% to win this Premiership match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Falkirk sit at 16% and the draw at 20%.

The goal expectancy is 3.26 in total, split 1.04 to Falkirk and 2.22 to Celtic. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is celtic to win at 64%. The best price in our comparison is 1.45 at 22Bet, which implies 69%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Celtic or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.14.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Falkirk stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Celtic show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Falkirk vs Celtic with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.49 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Falkirk scoring in 65% of runs and Celtic in 89%; clean sheets come at 11% for Falkirk and 35% for Celtic.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.8%, then 0-2 at 9.5% and 1-1 at 8.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Celtic, full-time Celtic leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Falkirk vs Celtic

The grid built from 1.04 and 2.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Falkirk to win16%6.00
Draw20%5.55
Celtic to win64%1.45
Falkirk, draw no bet20%fair 4.93
Celtic, draw no bet80%fair 1.25

Double chance

Falkirk or draw36%2.78
Celtic or draw84%1.14
Falkirk or Celtic (no draw)80%1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%1.49
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.10
Under 2.5 goals37%2.75
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.63
Not both teams to score42%2.25

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.32
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Falkirk to score65%fair 1.55
Celtic to score89%fair 1.12
Falkirk clean sheet11%fair 9.17
Celtic clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Falkirk to win to nil10%fair 10.00
Celtic to win to nil33%fair 3.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.8%
0-29.5%
1-18.9%
0-18.5%
1-37.3%
0-37%

Half-time / full-time

Celtic / Celtic42.2%
Draw / Celtic18.3%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Falkirk / Falkirk9.2%
Draw / Falkirk6.1%

Questions about Falkirk vs Celtic

Falkirk or Celtic: which side does the model back?

The model gives Celtic the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Falkirk vs Celtic?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Falkirk vs Celtic both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Falkirk find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Celtic in 89%.

What time does Falkirk vs Celtic kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Falkirk v CelticCeltic to win, 64%
1.45Bet