LaLiga
Round 9 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
Celta VigoHomeLWWDL
2:1Half-time 0:0
AlavesAwayDLLDL443026
Celta Vigo winDrawAlaves win
LaLiga
Round 9 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
Celta VigoHomeLWWDLAlavesAwayDLLDL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.19 1.27 : 0.92
- Favourite
- 44% Celta Vigo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Celta Vigo vs Alaves odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.51 | 2.54 | 1.61 | 2.02 | 1.72 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Celta Vigo to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Celta Vigo price at 2.37, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have Alaves longest at 3.51.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (1xBet) and no 1.72 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Celta Vigo or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.04fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.59fair
Celta Vigo vs Alaves odds movement
Celta Vigo win2.37unchanged
Draw3.24unchanged
Alaves win3.51-0.19
Over 2.5 goals2.54-0.01
Under 2.5 goals1.61unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction
Our Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction and pick
Celta Vigo are marginally ahead in the Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction, rated 44% to win this LaLiga match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Alaves sit at 26% and the draw at 30%.
The goal expectancy is 2.19 in total, split 1.27 to Celta Vigo and 0.92 to Alaves. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 37% and both teams to score 45%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Celta Vigo or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.37 at 1xBet, which implies 73%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Celta Vigo have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Alaves 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 11.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Celta Vigo vs Alaves
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 64%, over 2.5 at 37%, over 3.5 at 18%; under 2.5 is 63% and under 3.5 is 82%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Celta Vigo scoring in 72% of runs and Alaves in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Celta Vigo and 28% for Alaves.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.2%, then 1-1 at 13.1% and 0-0 at 11.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Celta Vigo vs Alaves
The grid built from 1.27 and 0.92 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Celta Vigo to win44%2.37
Draw30%3.24
Alaves to win26%3.51
Celta Vigo, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Alaves, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw74%1.37
Alaves or draw57%1.68
Celta Vigo or Alaves (no draw)70%1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 2.5 goals37%2.54
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.08
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Under 2.5 goals63%1.61
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.02
Not both teams to score55%1.72
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.86
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43
Team goals
Celta Vigo to score72%fair 1.39
Alaves to score60%fair 1.66
Celta Vigo clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Alaves clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Celta Vigo to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Alaves to win to nil24%fair 4.17
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.2%
1-113.1%
0-011.2%
0-110.3%
2-09%
2-18.3%
Half-time / full-time
Celta Vigo / Celta Vigo26.1%
Draw / Draw19.4%
Draw / Celta Vigo16.5%
Alaves / Alaves14.8%
Draw / Alaves10.8%
Questions about Celta Vigo vs Alaves
Who is favourite in Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
The model gives Celta Vigo the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 37%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Celta Vigo find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Alaves in 60%.
When is Celta Vigo vs Alaves and where is the result shown?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves starts at 14:15 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.