Premiership
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
HibernianHomeLLLDW
1:2Half-time 1:2
CelticAwayWLWDL192160
Hibernian winDrawCeltic win
Premiership
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
HibernianHomeLLLDWCelticAwayWLWDL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.22 1.11 : 2.11
- Favourite
- 60% Celtic
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Hibernian vs Celtic
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.78 | 4.30 | 1.59 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.48 | 4.40 | 1.66 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.50 | 4.40 | 1.60 | 1.46 | 2.58 | 1.49 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.52 | 4.40 | 1.65 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.52 | 4.40 | 1.65 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.50 | 4.40 | 1.64 | 1.43 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.41 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Celtic to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Hibernian vs Celtic prediction: Hibernian 4.78 (1xBet), draw 4.40 (22Bet), Celtic 1.66 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.52 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
60%
Our prediction
Celtic to win
Double chanceCeltic or draw
81% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celtic, full-time Celtic
39% chance2.56fair
Hibernian vs Celtic prediction
Hibernian vs Celtic prediction and best bet
Hibernian host Celtic on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Premiership, and the model has Celtic at 60%, the draw at 21% and Hibernian at 19%: that is the Hibernian vs Celtic prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.11 for Hibernian and 2.11 for Celtic, a total of 3.22, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is celtic to win at 60%. At 1.66 with 22Bet the market prices it at 60%, against 60% from the model.
For a safer line, celtic or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.20.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Hibernian stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Celtic show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Hibernian vs Celtic over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Hibernian vs Celtic reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.48.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Hibernian scoring in 67% of runs and Celtic in 88%; clean sheets come at 12% for Hibernian and 33% for Celtic.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.9%, followed by 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Celtic, full-time Celtic is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
Every market for Hibernian vs Celtic
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 21% / 60% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hibernian to win19%4.78
Draw21%4.40
Celtic to win60%1.66
Hibernian, draw no bet24%fair 4.17
Celtic, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Double chance
Hibernian or draw40%2.26
Celtic or draw81%1.20
Hibernian or Celtic (no draw)79%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.48
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Under 2.5 goals38%2.75
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.52
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.35
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Hibernian to score67%fair 1.49
Celtic to score88%fair 1.14
Hibernian clean sheet12%fair 8.26
Celtic clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Hibernian to win to nil11%fair 8.93
Celtic to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.9%
1-19.4%
0-28.9%
0-18.4%
1-36.9%
0-36.3%
Half-time / full-time
Celtic / Celtic39.1%
Draw / Celtic17.7%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Hibernian / Hibernian10.8%
Draw / Hibernian7%
Questions about Hibernian vs Celtic
Who is favourite in Hibernian vs Celtic?
The model gives Celtic the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Hibernian vs Celtic?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 62%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Hibernian vs Celtic both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Hibernian find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Celtic in 88%.
When do Hibernian play Celtic?
Hibernian vs Celtic starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.