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Live 26 UTC
Premiership Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
CelticHomeWLWDL
2:2Half-time 1:2
Dundee UtdAwayWWDWD
78148
Celtic winDrawDundee Utd win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
4.01
3.03 : 0.98
Favourite
78%
Celtic
Over 2.5 goals
74%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Celtic vs Dundee Utd odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.305.609.101.263.751.562.41Bet
BC.Game1.285.409.401.263.551.552.30Bet
Betwinner1.305.609.101.263.751.562.41Bet
Melbet1.305.609.101.303.501.562.41Bet
Stake1.286.408.201.263.651.532.34Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Celtic to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Celtic vs Dundee Utd are 1.30 for Celtic at Melbet, 6.40 for the draw at Stake and 9.40 for Dundee Utd at BC.Game.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.30 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (22Bet) and no 2.41 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

78%

Our prediction

Celtic to win
BankerExpected goals 3.03 : 0.98+1.2% against the best price
Double chanceCeltic or draw
92% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.30
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
8% chance11.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celtic, full-time Celtic
56% chance1.79fair

Celtic vs Dundee Utd prediction

Celtic vs Dundee Utd prediction and best bet

Celtic host Dundee Utd on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Premiership, and the model has Celtic at 78%, the draw at 14% and Dundee Utd at 8%: that is the Celtic vs Dundee Utd prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 4.01 in total, split 3.03 to Celtic and 0.98 to Dundee Utd. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Celtic vs Dundee Utd is celtic to win, a 78% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.

Celtic or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.07.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Celtic stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Dundee Utd show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Celtic vs Dundee Utd with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 91%, over 2.5 at 74%, over 3.5 at 57%; under 2.5 is 26% and under 3.5 is 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%, best priced 1.30 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 60%: Celtic find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Dundee Utd in 63%. Celtic keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Dundee Utd 5%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 3-0 at 8.4%, followed by 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 8.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Celtic vs Dundee Utd; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Celtic, full-time Celtic is the top combination at 56%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 84%.

Every market rated for Celtic vs Dundee Utd

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 78% / 14% / 8% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Celtic to win78%1.30
Draw14%6.40
Dundee Utd to win8%9.40
Celtic, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Dundee Utd, draw no bet10%fair 10.42

Double chance

Celtic or draw92%1.07
Dundee Utd or draw23%3.59
Celtic or Dundee Utd (no draw)86%1.14

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals74%1.30
Over 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 4.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 2.5 goals26%3.75
Under 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.41

Halves

First-half goal84%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals54%fair 1.86
Second-half goal89%fair 1.12

Team goals

Celtic to score95%fair 1.05
Dundee Utd to score63%fair 1.60
Celtic clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Dundee Utd clean sheet5%fair 20.83
Celtic to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Dundee Utd to win to nil4%fair 22.73

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

3-08.4%
2-08.3%
3-18.2%
2-18.2%
4-06.4%
4-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

Celtic / Celtic56%
Draw / Celtic18.1%
Draw / Draw6.5%
Dundee Utd / Dundee Utd4.9%
Dundee Utd / Celtic3.9%

Questions about Celtic vs Dundee Utd

Who is favourite in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

The model gives Celtic the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 14%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 8.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Celtic find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Dundee Utd in 63%.

When do Celtic play Dundee Utd?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Celtic v Dundee UtdCeltic to win, 78%
1.30Bet