Serie A
Round 9 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
AC MilanHomeWLWLW
2:4Half-time 2:1
BolognaAwayWLWWW562519
AC Milan winDrawBologna win
Serie A
Round 9 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
AC MilanHomeWLWLWBolognaAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.67 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 56% AC Milan
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for AC Milan vs Bologna
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.33 | 2.12 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.68 | 3.62 | 5.50 | 2.03 | 1.78 | 1.96 | 1.85 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.40 | 2.06 | 1.73 | 1.92 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.70 | 3.66 | 5.59 | 2.06 | 1.82 | 1.96 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.70 | 3.66 | 5.59 | 2.06 | 1.82 | 1.96 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.60 | 2.02 | 1.74 | 2.03 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AC Milan to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for AC Milan vs Bologna are 1.77 for AC Milan at 1xBet, 3.81 for the draw at 1xBet and 5.60 for Bologna at Stake.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.84 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (Stake) and no 1.85 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
56%
Our prediction
AC Milan to win
Double chanceAC Milan or draw
81% chance1.21
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.84
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan
35% chance2.87fair
AC Milan vs Bologna odds movement
AC Milan win1.77-0.01
Draw3.81unchanged
Bologna win5.60unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.12-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.84unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
AC Milan vs Bologna prediction
AC Milan vs Bologna prediction, who wins and at what price
AC Milan vs Bologna prediction for the Serie A on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes AC Milan a narrow favourite at 56%, with the draw at 25% and Bologna at 19%.
The goal expectancy is 2.55 in total, split 1.67 to AC Milan and 0.88 to Bologna. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for AC Milan vs Bologna is aC Milan to win, a 56% chance. At 1.77 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 56% from the model.
AC Milan or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.21.
Form check: AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 10 conceded, Bologna 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 7.
How many goals in AC Milan vs Bologna? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.84 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 48%: AC Milan find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Bologna in 59%. AC Milan keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Bologna 19%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13%, then 1-1 at 11.5% and 2-0 at 10.9%.
With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AC Milan vs Bologna; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, AC Milan vs Bologna
The grid built from 1.67 and 0.88 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
AC Milan to win56%1.77
Draw25%3.81
Bologna to win19%5.60
AC Milan, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Bologna, draw no bet25%fair 3.94
Double chance
AC Milan or draw81%1.21
Bologna or draw44%2.26
AC Milan or Bologna (no draw)75%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.12
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.84
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score48%2.03
Not both teams to score52%1.85
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
AC Milan to score81%fair 1.23
Bologna to score59%fair 1.71
AC Milan clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Bologna clean sheet19%fair 5.32
AC Milan to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Bologna to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013%
1-111.5%
2-010.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.8%
0-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
AC Milan / AC Milan34.9%
Draw / AC Milan18.7%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Bologna / Bologna10.7%
Draw / Bologna7.8%
Questions about AC Milan vs Bologna
Who is favourite in AC Milan vs Bologna?
The model gives AC Milan the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
AC Milan vs Bologna correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in AC Milan vs Bologna?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. AC Milan find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Bologna in 59%.
What time does AC Milan vs Bologna kick off?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.