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Serie A Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
UdineseHomeLLLDL
0:2Half-time 0:1
AC MilanAwayWLWLW
202654
Udinese winDrawAC Milan win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.78
1.02 : 1.76
Favourite
54%
AC Milan
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Udinese vs AC Milan odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.623.841.861.892.061.722.02Bet
22Bet5.093.761.731.772.131.722.12Bet
BC.Game4.703.601.751.831.931.801.95Bet
Betwinner5.093.761.731.772.131.722.12Bet
Melbet5.093.761.731.772.131.722.12Bet
Stake4.803.801.761.831.951.791.96Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AC Milan to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Udinese price at 5.09, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.84 and 1xBet have AC Milan longest at 1.86.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (BC.Game) and no 2.12 (Betwinner).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

54%

Our prediction

AC Milan to win
StrongExpected goals 1.02 : 1.76-0.1% against the best price
Double chanceAC Milan or draw
80% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan
34% chance2.92fair

Udinese vs AC Milan odds movement

Udinese win5.09unchanged
Draw3.84unchanged
AC Milan win1.86unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.89-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.13unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Udinese vs AC Milan prediction

Udinese vs AC Milan prediction and best bet

The Udinese vs AC Milan prediction leans to AC Milan: 54% against 20% for Udinese, with 26% left for the draw, in the Serie A on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Udinese are expected to score 1.02 and AC Milan 1.76, so the total line is 2.78 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Udinese vs AC Milan is aC Milan to win, a 54% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.86. That price implies 54%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, aC Milan or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.25.

Form check: Udinese have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 12 conceded, AC Milan 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 10.

How many goals in Udinese vs AC Milan? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 52%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.89.

BTTS yes stands at 55%. Udinese score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for AC Milan; AC Milan score in 83% while Udinese shut them out 17% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Udinese vs AC Milan

The grid built from 1.02 and 1.76 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Udinese to win20%5.09
Draw26%3.84
AC Milan to win54%1.86
Udinese, draw no bet27%fair 3.65
AC Milan, draw no bet73%fair 1.38

Double chance

Udinese or draw46%2.16
AC Milan or draw80%1.25
Udinese or AC Milan (no draw)74%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 2.5 goals48%2.13
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.80
Not both teams to score45%2.12

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.81
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Udinese to score64%fair 1.56
AC Milan to score83%fair 1.21
Udinese clean sheet17%fair 5.81
AC Milan clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Udinese to win to nil16%fair 6.33
AC Milan to win to nil33%fair 3.01

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
0-110.9%
1-29.8%
0-29.6%
1-06.3%
0-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

AC Milan / AC Milan34.2%
Draw / AC Milan17.7%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Udinese / Udinese12.1%
Draw / Udinese8.3%

Questions about Udinese vs AC Milan

Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?

The model gives AC Milan the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Udinese vs AC Milan?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Udinese find the net in 64% of simulated matches and AC Milan in 83%.

What time does Udinese vs AC Milan kick off?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Udinese v AC MilanAC Milan to win, 54%
1.86Bet