Swansea vs West Ham prediction

Swansea vs West Ham prediction and best bet

West Ham are marginally ahead in the Swansea vs West Ham prediction, rated 47% to win this Championship match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Swansea sit at 27% and the draw at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.22 for Swansea and 1.67 for West Ham, a total of 2.89, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Swansea or West Ham (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 7 conceded, West Ham 2 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 7.

Swansea vs West Ham goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.73 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Swansea scoring in 71% of runs and West Ham in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Swansea and 30% for West Ham.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Swansea vs West Ham: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time West Ham, full-time West Ham is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.