Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
WatfordHomeLLWLL
2:0Half-time 0:0
CharltonAwayDDLLL372835
Watford winDrawCharlton win
Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
WatfordHomeLLWLLCharltonAwayDDLLL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.35 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 37% Watford
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Watford vs Charlton
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.38 | 2.70 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Watford to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Watford price at 2.45, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Charlton longest at 2.70.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.85 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Watford or Charlton (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.85
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Watford, full-time Watford
22% chance4.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Watford vs Charlton odds movement
Watford win2.45-0.19
Draw3.38-0.02
Charlton win2.70-0.10
Over 2.5 goals1.89-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.85-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Watford vs Charlton prediction
Our Watford vs Charlton prediction and pick
Watford vs Charlton prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model calls it close, Watford 37%, draw 28%, Charlton 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Watford are expected to score 1.35 and Charlton 1.31, so the total line is 2.66 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Watford vs Charlton is watford or Charlton (no draw), a 72% chance. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 72% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Watford vs Charlton.
Over the last 5 matches Watford stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Charlton show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Watford vs Charlton goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Watford vs Charlton reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.85.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Watford scoring in 74% of runs and Charlton in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Watford and 26% for Charlton.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Watford vs Charlton: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Watford, full-time Watford is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market rated for Watford vs Charlton
The grid built from 1.35 and 1.31 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Watford to win37%2.45
Draw28%3.38
Charlton to win35%2.70
Watford, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Charlton, draw no bet49%fair 2.05
Double chance
Watford or draw65%1.42
Charlton or draw63%1.50
Watford or Charlton (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.89
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.85
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.04
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Watford to score74%fair 1.35
Charlton to score73%fair 1.37
Watford clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Charlton clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Watford to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Charlton to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-09.4%
0-19.2%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%
0-07%
Half-time / full-time
Watford / Watford22.2%
Charlton / Charlton21%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / Watford13.5%
Draw / Charlton12.9%
Questions about Watford vs Charlton
Who is favourite in Watford vs Charlton?
The model gives Watford the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Watford vs Charlton?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Watford vs Charlton both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Watford find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Charlton in 73%.
When is Watford vs Charlton and where is the result shown?
Watford vs Charlton starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.