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Live 6 UTC
Championship Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
West HamHomeDWWLL
2:3Half-time 1:3
SouthamptonAwayWWDWW
572221
West Ham winDrawSouthampton win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.42
2.15 : 1.27
Favourite
57%
West Ham
Over 2.5 goals
66%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

West Ham vs Southampton odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.634.304.501.412.521.482.47Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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West Ham to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best West Ham price at 1.63, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.30 and 1xBet have Southampton longest at 4.50.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

57%

Our prediction

West Ham to win
StrongExpected goals 2.15 : 1.27-7.1% against the best price
Double chanceWest Ham or draw
79% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time West Ham, full-time West Ham
37% chance2.69fair

West Ham vs Southampton odds movement

West Ham win1.63-0.12
Draw4.30-0.11
Southampton win4.50-0.10
Over 2.5 goals1.41-0.09
Under 2.5 goals2.52-0.27

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

West Ham vs Southampton prediction

Our West Ham vs Southampton prediction and pick

The West Ham vs Southampton prediction leans to West Ham: 57% against 22% for Southampton, with 22% left for the draw, in the Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.15 for West Ham and 1.27 for Southampton, a total of 3.42, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

West Ham to win is the main selection, rated 57%. At 1.63 with 1xBet the market prices it at 61%, against 57% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on West Ham vs Southampton.

For a safer line, west Ham or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.18.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches West Ham stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Southampton show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

West Ham vs Southampton over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines West Ham vs Southampton reads 86% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.41.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. West Ham score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Southampton; Southampton score in 72% while West Ham shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%, followed by 1-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.6%).

With the top scoreline at 9.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for West Ham vs Southampton; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time West Ham, full-time West Ham leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for West Ham vs Southampton

The grid built from 2.15 and 1.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

West Ham to win57%1.63
Draw22%4.30
Southampton to win22%4.50
West Ham, draw no bet73%fair 1.38
Southampton, draw no bet27%fair 3.65

Double chance

West Ham or draw79%1.18
Southampton or draw43%2.20
West Ham or Southampton (no draw)79%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.41
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.86
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.47

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

West Ham to score88%fair 1.13
Southampton to score72%fair 1.39
West Ham clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Southampton clean sheet12%fair 8.62
West Ham to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Southampton to win to nil11%fair 9.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.6%
1-18.9%
2-07.6%
1-07%
3-16.9%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

West Ham / West Ham37.2%
Draw / West Ham16.7%
Southampton / Southampton12.5%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Draw / Southampton7.6%

Questions about West Ham vs Southampton

Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?

The model gives West Ham the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

West Ham vs Southampton correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in West Ham vs Southampton?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. West Ham find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Southampton in 72%.

When do West Ham play Southampton?

West Ham vs Southampton starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, West Ham v SouthamptonWest Ham to win, 57%
1.63Bet